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Major League Soccer

Sporting KC - Philadelphia Union

09/20/2026, 12:30 AM

3 : 4
预期进球
Sporting KC
1.3
Total xG
3.7
Philadelphia Union
2.4
最可能的比分

1:2

9%

1:3

7%

2:2

6%

0:3

6%

2:1

5%
xG 分解
SKPU

Sporting KC

防守不足 (场均失2.5球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.68
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-0.61
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.16
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.16
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第7位, 相差8位)
-0.11
Capita未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)

Philadelphia Union

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.59倍)
+1.41
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
+0.36
状态上升 (3.2 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.36
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第15位, 相差8位)
+0.09
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

18%

平局

21%

客胜

61%

进球数

Over 1.5

89%

Under 1.5

11%

Over 2.5

71%

Under 2.5

29%

Over 3.5

50%

Under 3.5

50%

双重机会

主胜或平局

39%

客胜或平局

82%

非平局

79%

双方进球

66%

34%

关键因素
  • Clear gap in form: Philadelphia Union enters with 4 consecutive wins, while Sporting KC struggles in a crisis
  • Strong offensive metrics: Philadelphia Union scores 3.2 goals on average and recently averaged 5.8 shots on target per game
  • Calculated favorite: The mathematical model predicts a high away win probability of 61%
风险因素
  • Vulnerable away defense: Philadelphia Union concedes an average of 1.87 goals per game on the road
  • Squad loss: Sporting KC will have to play without defender O. Blorian due to a chest injury
概述

Sporting KC (15th place, 18 points) host Philadelphia Union (7th place, 33 points)

Major League Soccer match on September 20, 2026, 12:30 AM

Clash at Children's Mercy Park between the bottom of the table and playoff-contenders

近期状态

Sporting KC has a weak record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their recent matches

However, they recently secured a 3-1 home win against Los Angeles FC

Form string: DLLLW

Philadelphia Union travels with a strong run of 4 wins and 1 draw

The visitors recently celebrated a clear 5-0 away victory against San Diego

Form string: DWWWW

Explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sporting KC averages 1.08 goals scored and 2.46 goals conceded per game

The hosts are yet to record a clean sheet this season

Philadelphia Union scores an average of 1.84 goals and concedes 1.56

The visitors have already kept 6 clean sheets this season

19 of Sporting KC's 24 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

1 head-to-head match in the last two years

The match on March 3, 2024 ended in a 1-1 draw

Even historical record with no dominant winner

关键球员

Calvin Harris has 3 goals and 3 assists in 23 season appearances

Taylor Calheira recently recorded 3 goals and 1 assist in 5 games

Stephen Afrifa scored 2 goals in his last 5 appearances

Milan Iloski has already scored 12 goals and provided 2 assists this season

Cavan Sullivan shines with 5 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 matches

Bruno Damiani recently registered 4 goals and 1 assist in 5 games

Not nominated: Capita (2 goals, 1 assist)

门将

Stefan Cleveland played 15 matches and is still waiting for a clean sheet

Andre Blake guarded the goal 24 times and celebrated 6 clean sheets

影响因素

Home games at Children's Mercy Park average 2.8 goals

Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of 5 home matches

The game will be played on a natural grass surface

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