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Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo - Sporting KC

09/27/2026, 12:30 AM

0 : 2
预期进球
Houston Dynamo
1.5
Total xG
2.6
Sporting KC
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
HDSK

Houston Dynamo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.6倍)
-0.54
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.19
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第15位, 相差13位)
+0.09
全员可用

Sporting KC

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.25
状态上升 (2 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.25
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.23
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第2位, 相差13位)
-0.16
Capita未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

29%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

71%

双方进球

是

52%

否

48%

关键因素
  • Defensive gap: Houston concedes only 0.77 goals on average at home, while Sporting KC concedes 4.11 goals away
  • Key absence: For Sporting KC, Capita (2 goals, 1 assist) is not in the starting lineup
  • Tactical metrics: Sporting KC recently averaged 5.0 shots on target with 48% possession
风险因素
  • Sporting KC concedes a worrying 4.11 goals per away game on average
  • Houston Dynamo averaged only 3.6 shots on target in recent matches
  • Sporting KC is still waiting for their first clean sheet of the season
概述

Houston Dynamo host Sporting KC at the Shell Energy Stadium

Major League Soccer match on September 27, 2026, 2:30 AM

Houston Dynamo sit in 2nd place with 44 points

Sporting KC travel as the 15th-placed team with 18 points

Clear favorites role for the home side with a 46% win probability calculated by the model

近期状态

Houston Dynamo show a recent form of DDWLD

The home team recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

Sporting KC's recent form is LLLWL

The visitors suffered 4 defeats and secured just 1 win in their last 5 games

Sporting KC comes off a defeat against Philadelphia Union

统计数据

Houston Dynamo score an average of 1.31 goals and concede 1.15 goals per game

At home, Houston's defense is very stable, conceding just 0.77 goals per match

Sporting KC score 1.16 goals on average but concede 2.52 goals per game

Away from home, Sporting KC's defense is highly vulnerable, conceding 4.11 goals per match

Sporting KC have not kept a single clean sheet this season

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo won 2, Sporting KC won 1, and 2 ended in a draw

The last encounter on August 2, 2026, ended in a 2-0 home victory for Houston Dynamo

The total goals stand at 6-5 in favor of the home team

关键球员

Forward Guilherme is Houston's top performer with 14 goals, 6 assists, and a 7.8 rating

Midfielder Mateusz Bogusz contributed 6 goals and 1 assist

Lawrence Ennali has recorded 3 goals and 3 assists for the home side

For the visitors, Taylor Calheira stands out with 3 goals and André Luiz with 3 goals

Calvin Harris is also crucial with 3 goals and 4 assists for Sporting KC

门将

Jonathan Bond plays in goal for Houston, keeping 11 clean sheets with a rating of 6.97

Stefan Cleveland represents Sporting KC in goal and is still searching for his first clean sheet with a rating of 6.64

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Shell Energy Stadium

Home advantage is prominent with Houston Dynamo conceding only 0.77 goals per home game

Sporting KC suffer from a massive away weakness, conceding 4.11 goals per away match

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