Major League Soccer
Toronto - Chicago Fire
09/05/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.6
1.5
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Toronto
Chicago Fire
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
26%
平局
29%
客胜
45%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
55%
客胜或平局
74%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Tactical advantage: Chicago Fire averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to Toronto's 4.2
- Historical dominance: Chicago Fire won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings against Toronto, remaining unbeaten
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a 45% probability of an away win for Chicago Fire
风险因素
- Defensive vulnerability: Toronto has failed to keep a single clean sheet at home this season, conceding an average of 1.44 goals per home game
- Missing personnel: Toronto has to play without Kobe Franklin (2 goals, 2 assists) and Niklas Dorsch (2 goals) in the lineup
概述
Toronto (9th place, 25 points) host Chicago Fire (3rd place, 37 points)
Major League Soccer match on September 5, 2026, 11:30 PM
BMO Field will host the match
The roles are clear, with Chicago Fire entering as favorites
近期状态
Toronto enters with a form of DWDWD
Their last games resulted in 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses
Chicago Fire travels with a form of WWWDD
The guests recorded 3 wins and 2 draws recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Toronto scores an average of 1.45 goals and concedes 1.73 goals per game
In home games, Toronto's goal average is 1.44 scored and 1.44 conceded
Chicago Fire averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.7 goals conceded away from home
The guests have kept 6 clean sheets overall this season
Both teams scored in 18 of Toronto's 22 matches this season
历史交锋
There have been 5 head-to-head matches so far
Chicago Fire dominated with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 wins for Toronto
The goal difference stands at 6:11 from Toronto's perspective
The last encounter ended in a 2:1 win for Chicago Fire on May 24, 2026
关键球员
Dániel Sallói impresses with 6 goals and 4 assists in 22 appearances
Josh Sargent contributed 4 goals and 2 assists in 15 season appearances
Djordje Mihailovic has registered 2 goals and 3 assists
Philip Zinckernagel shines for the guests with 5 goals and 8 assists
Maren Haile-Selassie contributed 5 goals and 4 assists in 21 matches
Robert Lewandowski recorded 4 goals and 1 assist in 7 appearances
门将
Luka Gavran is in goal for Toronto, holding an average rating of 6.77
He has kept 3 clean sheets with his team this season
Chris Brady guards the goal for Chicago Fire with a rating of 6.87
He has recorded 6 clean sheets overall this season
影响因素
BMO Field features a natural grass surface
Stadium history shows high-scoring matches, averaging 3.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 matches played at this venue