🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

Orlando City - Toronto

09/12/2026, 11:30 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Orlando City
1.4
Total xG
2.4
Toronto
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
OCTOR

Orlando City

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.58
防守实力 (场均失2.3球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.49
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.09
Justin Ellis替补席 (1球, 8助攻)
Griffin Dorsey替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Eduard Atuesta替补席 (0球, 3助攻)

Toronto

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.71
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.20
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.20
Djordje Mihailovic未进大名单 (2球, 5助攻)
Alonso Coello替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

30%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

70%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Offensive trend: Both teams are scoring more recently than their season average (Orlando 2.0 vs 1.71; Toronto 2.4 vs 1.58)
  • Tactical approach: Orlando is possession-dominant (56% possession, 5.0 shots on target), Toronto counter-oriented (42% possession, 6.0 shots on target)
  • Defensive home advantage: Orlando concedes only 1.42 goals at home compared to Toronto's 2.50 goals on the road
风险因素
  • Fatigue issues: Both teams enter this match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
  • Missing key creator: Djordje Mihailovic (2 goals, 5 assists) is injured and absent from Toronto's lineup
  • High defensive vulnerability: Orlando City has already conceded 56 goals this season (avg 2.33 per game)
概述

Orlando City in 6th place with 31 points host Toronto in 10th place with 29 points

Major League Soccer fixture on September 12, 2026, 7:30 PM

A tight matchup in the battle for playoff spots at the Inter&Co Stadium

近期状态

Orlando City holds a form of LWDWW with two consecutive wins

Home form summary shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Toronto enters with a form of DWDDW and is undefeated in five matches

Away form summary shows 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Orlando City averages 1.71 goals scored and 2.33 goals conceded per game

At home their defense is tighter with 1.42 goals conceded

Toronto averages 1.58 goals scored and 1.79 goals conceded per game

On the road Toronto concedes an average of 2.5 goals

历史交锋

Even head-to-head history with 4 direct matches played

Both teams have won 2 matches each with 0 draws

An even goal difference of 9:9 goals

The last encounter on October 18, 2025, ended in a 4-2 win for Toronto

关键球员

Antoine Griezmann shines for Orlando City with 7 goals and 3 assists in 9 appearances

Martín Ojeda contributed 11 goals and 1 assist in 18 matches

Tyrese Spicer has 6 goals and 2 assists for the home side

Josh Sargent leads Toronto with 7 goals and 2 assists

Dániel Sallói has contributed 7 goals and 6 assists for the away side

Derrick Etienne Jr. registered 4 goals and 1 assist

门将

Maxime Crépeau start in goal for Orlando City keeping 3 clean sheets in 23 appearances

Luka Gavran is in goal for Toronto keeping 3 clean sheets in 24 appearances

影响因素

The match takes place at the Inter&Co Stadium on natural grass

Venue stats show an average of 2.0 goals per game and a 60% BTTS rate

Both Orlando City and Toronto have had only 3 days of rest since their last match

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。