比赛报告 →
Colorado Rapids – Real Salt Lake1 : 0
模型为何这样判断
Colorado Rapids
1.70
总 xG
2.65
Real Salt Lake
0.95
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Colorado Rapids | Real Salt Lake |
|---|---|---|
| 进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍) | −0.73 | |
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.2球) | +0.69 | +0.69 |
| 防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.8球) | −0.43 | |
| 防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.4球) | +0.24 | |
| 最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球) | −0.21 | |
| 状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均) | −0.21 | |
| 最近5场中3场零封 | −0.15 | |
| 最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球) | −0.09 | |
| Dante Sealy未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻) | ||
| Diego Luna替补席 (5球, 3助攻) | ||
| Juan Manuel Sanabria替补席 (1球, 4助攻) | ||
| Stijn Spierings未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻) | ||
| 20%进球产出缺失 (仅79%可用) | ||
| 主场表现强势 (场均1.8球 vs 总体1.5球) | ||
| 客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.7球) |
关键因素
- Mathematical advantage with a calculated home win probability of 54% for Colorado Rapids
- Defensive strength at home with Colorado conceding only 0.64 goals on average
- Away weakness of Real Salt Lake conceding an average of 2.71 goals per match on the road
风险
- Colorado Rapids recently struggled in front of goal averaging 0.8 compared to their season average of 1.5
- Real Salt Lake's recent goal output has also declined to 1.4 goals per match
- Historically low-scoring matches at this venue with an average of only 1.6 goals over the last 5 games
全部概率
赛果
Colorado Rapids54%
平局27%
Real Salt Lake19%
进球
大于 1.576%
小于 1.524%
大于 2.549%
小于 2.551%
大于 3.527%
小于 3.573%
双重机会
Colorado Rapids或平局81%
Real Salt Lake或平局46%
非平局73%
双方均进球
是52%
否48%
最可能的比分
1:1
13%
2:0
10%
2:1
10%
3:0
6%
3:1
5%
1:0
最终比分
首发阵容
Colorado Rapids 4-2-3-1 · Real Salt Lake 3-4-3
Colorado Rapids
- 31 A. Beaudry
- 4 R. Cannon
- 6 R. Holding
- 5 L. Ntambue Kayumba
- 29 M. Navarro Zárate
- 8 H. Ojediran
- 13 W. Frederick II
- 10 P. Aaronson
- 88 Y. Maziz
- 93 G. Minoungou
- 9 R. Navarro Leal
Real Salt Lake
- 1 R. Cabral Barbosa
- 3 K. Henry
- 21 J. Arias
- 29 S. Junqua
- 2 D. Yedlin
- 7 P. Ruíz
- 92 N. Caliskan
- 98 A. Katranis
- 39 A. Hezarkhani
- 22 S. Solans Ormo
- 9 M. Guilavogui
替补
- 2 K. Rosenberry
- 12 J. Atencio
- 16 A. Harris
- 24 N. Cobb
- 77 D. Yapi
- 33 K. Thompson
- 32 D. Phillip
- 49 N.Tchoumba
- 61 B. Dowd
- 4 L. Engel
- 25 C. Guske
- 11 D. Marczuk
- 31 M. Stajduhar
- 34 L. Moisa
- 8 J. Sanabria Magole
- 12 S. Lobzhanidze
- 10 D. Luna
- 70 L. Rodrigues dos Santos
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