比赛报告 →
Los Angeles FC – Vancouver Whitecaps1 : 1
模型为何这样判断
Los Angeles FC
1.42
总 xG
2.97
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.55
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Los Angeles FC | Vancouver Whitecaps |
|---|---|---|
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.2球) | +0.74 | +0.74 |
| 防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.8球) | −0.65 | |
| 防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球) | −0.27 | |
| 进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.36倍) | +0.15 | |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球) | −0.10 | |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球) | −0.03 | |
| Mark Delgado替补席 (2球, 3助攻) | ||
| Ryan Hollingshead替补席 (1球, 1助攻) | ||
| Thomas Müller替补席 (9球, 6助攻) | ||
| Mathías Laborda替补席 (4球, 3助攻) | ||
| 18%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用) | ||
| 客场表现不佳 (场均1.8球 vs 总体2.3球) |
关键因素
- Visitor attack: Vancouver Whitecaps average 2.22 goals per game this season and averaged 6.4 shots on target in recent matches
- Model prediction: The mathematical model assigns a 39% win probability to the away team compared to 34% for a home victory
- Key goalscorers: Brian White (17 goals) and Denis Bouanga (14 goals) headline their respective attacks
风险
- Key absence for visitors: T. Müller is injured, removing 9 season goals from Vancouver Whitecaps
- Form drop for Los Angeles FC: Averaging only 1.4 goals per match recently compared to 1.72 in the season overall
全部概率
赛果
Los Angeles FC34%
平局27%
Vancouver Whitecaps39%
进球
大于 1.581%
小于 1.519%
大于 2.557%
小于 2.543%
大于 3.535%
小于 3.565%
双重机会
Los Angeles FC或平局61%
Vancouver Whitecaps或平局67%
非平局73%
双方均进球
是61%
否39%
最可能的比分
1:1
13%
1:2
9%
2:1
8%
2:2
6%
0:2
6%
首发阵容
Los Angeles FC 4-2-3-1 · Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
Los Angeles FC
- 1 H. Lloris
- 14 S. Palencia Hurtado
- 5 R. Porteous
- 4 E. Segura Martínez
- 23 Y. Cheberko
- 20 S. Vasquez Cabrera
- 66 M. Choiniere
- 9 A. Sieb
- 7 H. Son
- 18 J. Shaffelburg
- 99 D. Bouanga
Vancouver Whitecaps
- 1 Y. Takaoka
- 18 ?. Vidal
- 33 T. Blackmon
- 6 R. Priso-Mbongue
- 28 T. Johnson
- 20 A. Cubas
- 8 O. Larraz
- 11 E. Sabbi
- 25 R. Gauld
- 77 Y. Diaby
- 24 B. White
替补
- 81 L. Walta
- 47 M. Aiyenero
- 8 M. Delgado
- 12 T. Hasal
- 19 T. Boyd
- 21 R. Raposo
- 24 R. Hollingshead
- 45 K. Nielsen
- 91 Nkosi Tafari
- 31 C. Carter
- 17 J. Ebobisse
- 6 I. Lima
- 33 A. Long
- 90 T. Mihalic
- 44 C. Diaz
- 49 C. Kosakoff
- 43 T. dos Santos Rebelo
- 7 C. Sabaly
- 70 R. Muati Modesto
- 19 R. Elloumi
- 2 M. Laborda Malseñido
- 13 T. Müller
- 29 M. Gherasimencov
- 32 I. Boehmer
- 41 N. Djordjevic
- 3 S. Adekugbe
- 14 B. Caicedo Quiñonez
- 4 R. Veselinović
- 23 A. Cvetković
- 15 S. Ramírez Maya
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