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Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew - New York RB

09/12/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Columbus Crew
1.4
Total xG
2.6
New York RB
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
CCNYR

Columbus Crew

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.56
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.06
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.02
Mohamed Farsi替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Taha Habroune替补席 (2球, 2助攻)

New York RB

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.30
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.27
Cade Cowell替补席 (2球, 6助攻)
Emil Forsberg 替补席 (3球, 4助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

29%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

71%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Matchup advantage: Columbus Crew (1.42 home goals) faces an extremely vulnerable New York RB away defense conceding 2.5 goals per game on average
  • Model Prediction: Mathematical analysis favors the home side with a 72% probability for a home win or draw
  • Tactical dominance: Columbus Crew averaged 57% possession in recent matches, controlling the tempo of their games
风险因素
  • Mohamed Farsi, Taha Habroune missing, only 69% of seasonal goal threat available
  • High physical demand for New York RB with only 2 days of rest since their last match
  • Columbus Crew averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
概述

Columbus Crew (13th place, 23 points) host New York RB (12th place, 27 points)

Major League Soccer match on September 12, 2026, 11:30 PM

Both teams fight for crucial points in the lower section of the table

近期状态

Columbus Crew shows a downward trend with four losses in the last five games (LLLWL)

The only bright spot was the 3-0 home win against Colorado Rapids

New York RB is winless in five games (LDLDL)

Most recently they suffered a 0-2 away defeat at Los Angeles FC

统计数据

Columbus Crew scores an average of 1.42 goals and concedes 1.17 at home

New York RB struggles defensively away, conceding 2.5 goals per match

Columbus Crew has kept four clean sheets in home matches

New York RB managed only one clean sheet in ten away games

历史交锋

The historical record shows two wins for New York RB, one for Columbus Crew, and two draws

The last head-to-head match on May 13, 2026 ended in a 3-2 victory for New York RB

The goal difference is even at 7-7 across five matches

关键球员

Brais Méndez has recorded two goals and one assist this season

Santiago Rodríguez stands out with two goals in two matches and a rating of 7.73

Gonzalo Tapia has registered one goal and one assist

Julian Hall leads New York RB with nine goals and three assists

Jorge Ruvalcaba contributed seven goals this season

Ronald Donkor has provided four assists so far

门将

Patrick Schulte has 24 appearances and kept four clean sheets

Ethan Horvath also played 24 games but kept only two clean sheets

影响因素

Columbus Crew benefits from home advantage at Lower.com Field on grass

Stadium statistics indicate a high-scoring trend with an average of 3.2 goals per game

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