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Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew - Inter Miami

09/27/2026, 11:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Columbus Crew
1.2
Total xG
2.8
Inter Miami
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
CCIM

Columbus Crew

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-0.66
防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.16
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第3位, 相差11位)
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02
Brais Méndez未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅98%可用)

Inter Miami

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.3倍)
+0.11
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.08
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第14位, 相差11位)
+0.08
Germán Berterame未进大名单 (7球, 4助攻)
Telasco Segovia未进大名单 (3球, 8助攻)
Ian Fray未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅77%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.73
+0.73
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

28%

平局

28%

客胜

44%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

56%

客胜或平局

72%

非平局

72%

双方进球

是

58%

否

42%

关键因素
  • Tactical advantage: Inter Miami averaged 6.8 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • Historical dominance: Inter Miami secured 4 wins in their last 5 head-to-head matches against Columbus Crew
  • Offensive trend: Inter Miami currently scores more frequently (2.8 goals) than their season average of 2.5
风险因素
  • Squad absences for the visitors: Germán Berterame, Telasco Segovia, and Ian Fray are missing, leaving only 77% of their usual starting strength
  • Defensive vulnerability for Inter Miami: The team concedes an average of 1.83 goals per away match
概述

Columbus Crew (14th place, 26 points) host Inter Miami (3rd place, 46 points) at Lower.com Field

MLS match on September 27, 2026, 11:00 PM

The visitors travel as favorites against the 14th-placed side

近期状态

Columbus Crew show inconsistent form

Form string: LWLLW with 2 wins and 3 losses

Inter Miami remain unbeaten in five matches with a form string of WDDDD

统计数据

Inter Miami boast an explosive attack averaging 2.42 goals scored per game

Columbus Crew concede an average of 1.62 goals per match

Lower.com Field averages 2.8 total goals per match

历史交锋

Inter Miami dominate head-to-head history with 4 wins in 5 matches

Columbus Crew are yet to secure a victory against Miami in this period

The last direct encounter ended in a 2-2 draw

关键球员

Santiago Rodríguez has scored 4 goals in his last 5 games with a 7.56 average rating

Mohamed Farsi contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 4 appearances

Lionel Messi dominates the league with 20 goals and 12 assists in 23 appearances

Not nominated for the hosts: Brais Méndez (3 goals, 1 assist)

Not nominated for the visitors: Germán Berterame (7 goals, 4 assists), Telasco Segovia (3 goals, 8 assists), Ian Fray (1 goal, 3 assists)

门将

Patrick Schulte starts in goal for the hosts with 5 clean sheets this season

Rocco Ríos Novo guards the goal for the visitors in this match

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Lower.com Field

Columbus Crew average 1.42 goals scored per home game

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