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Major League Soccer

New York City - Columbus Crew

05/10/2026, 08:30 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
New York City
1.4
Total xG
3.0
Columbus Crew
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
NYCCC

New York City

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.99
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.46
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.22
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.22
10%进球产出缺失 (仅89%可用)

Columbus Crew

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.4倍)
+0.68
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.39
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.32
W. Abou Ali未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
31%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

27%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

73%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: Columbus Crew is slightly favored with a 40% win probability and 1.57 predicted goals
  • Current Form: New York City's recent form (LLDLL) is worse than Columbus Crew's (DLWWL)
  • Head-to-Head: Columbus Crew has a historical edge with 2 wins in 4 direct encounters
风险因素
  • Player Absence: W. Abou Ali is sidelined for Columbus Crew, accounting for 31% of the team's season goals (63% of goal threat available)
  • Goal Production: New York City's recent goal production has dropped to an average of 1.0 goals per game, compared to a season average of 1.7
概述

New York City (10th place, 12 points) hosts Columbus Crew (11th place, 12 points) in a Major League Soccer fixture. The match takes place on May 10, 2026, 4:30 PM. Both teams are level on points in the mid-table, aiming to distance themselves from the relegation zone and keep pace with the top ranks.

近期状态

New York City displays poor form with LLDLL from their last five matches, comprising 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Columbus Crew shows slightly better form with DLWWL in their last five games, including 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. New York City's current form is sharply declining with two consecutive losses, while Columbus Crew recorded two wins before their last loss.

统计数据

New York City scores an average of 1.73 goals and concedes 1.64 goals per game this season. At home, the average is 1.78 goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded. The team has kept 1 clean sheet. Both teams scored in 7 matches, and 6 matches had over 2.5 goals. Columbus Crew averages 1.45 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded per game. Away, the average is 1.5 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded. They have kept 2 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 8 matches, and 7 matches had over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

In a total of 4 head-to-head matches, New York City has achieved 1 win, while Columbus Crew secured 2 wins, and 1 match ended in a draw. The goal difference is 7:9 in favor of Columbus Crew. The last encounter was won by New York City 3-2 on September 17, 2025. However, Columbus Crew has been more dominant in recent direct duels.

关键球员

For New York City, Nicolás Fernández Mercau (8 goals, 0 assists, avg rating 7.91), Maxi Moralez (1 goal, 6 assists, avg rating 7.37), and Agustín Ojeda (3 goals, 2 assists, avg rating 6.83) are key players. Nicolás Fernández Mercau scored 3 goals in his last 5 games. For Columbus Crew, Max Arfsten (3 goals, 4 assists, avg rating 7.27), Taha Habroune (1 goal, 2 assists, avg rating 7.13), and Diego Rossi (4 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 7.01) stand out. Max Arfsten recorded 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games, while Diego Rossi scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist.

门将

New York City's goalkeeper Matt Freese has recorded 1 clean sheet this season. Columbus Crew's goalkeeper Patrick Schulte has achieved this in 2 matches.

影响因素

New York City demonstrates home strength with an average of 1.78 goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded in home games. Columbus Crew scores an average of 1.5 goals and concedes 1.67 goals per away game.

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