Major League Soccer
Nashville SC - New York City
05/24/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.7
2.9
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Nashville SC
New York City
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
27%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- Nashville SC's strong home record, averaging 2.33 goals scored, and good form (WDDWW) speak in their favor
- New York City's goal production is currently stalling (1.0) compared to their season average (1.7)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Nashville SC with 48% probability
风险因素
- New York City has only 64% of their usual goal threat available without Maxi Moralez, Hannes Wolf, and Keaton Parks
- New York City concedes an average of 2.00 goals per away game
概述
Nashville SC (1st place, 30 points) hosts New York City (5th place, 19 points) in Major League Soccer
The match takes place on May 24, 2026, 12:30 AM
Nashville SC aims to maintain their league lead, while New York City seeks to climb the table
近期状态
Nashville SC is in good form with WDDWW (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) in their last five matches across all competitions
Recent results include a 3-2 win against Los Angeles FC and a 3-0 win against New England
New York City's form is mixed, recorded as LLWWD (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
They recently drew 1-1 against New York RB and secured a 1-0 win against Charlotte
统计数据
Nashville SC has averaged 2.23 goals scored and 0.77 goals conceded this season
At home, the team averages 2.33 goals scored and 0.89 goals conceded per game
New York City averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.36 goals conceded
Away from home, their average is 1.67 goals scored and 2.00 goals conceded
Nashville SC has a better defensive record with 6 clean sheets compared to New York City's 3 clean sheets
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 of Nashville SC's games and 7 of New York City's games
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, Nashville SC has 1 win, New York City has 2 wins, and there has been 1 draw
Nashville SC scored 5 goals, while New York City scored 7 goals
The last encounter on August 17, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for New York City
New York City has been more dominant in recent head-to-head clashes
关键球员
Hany Mukhtar of Nashville SC scored 6 goals and 4 assists this season with an average rating of 7.27
He contributed 4 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances with a stable form trend
Cristian Espinoza added 3 goals and 5 assists with an average rating of 7.39
He recorded 3 assists in his last 5 matches
Warren Madrigal scored 5 goals and 3 assists with a rating of 7.16 and a rising form trend
For New York City, Nicolás Fernández Mercau stands out with 9 goals and 3 assists and a rating of 7.88
He recorded 1 goal and 3 assists in his last 5 games
Agustín Ojeda contributed 3 goals and 3 assists with an average rating of 6.9
Andrés Perea scored 1 goal in 4 appearances with a rating of 6.85 and a stable form trend
门将
Brian Schwake (Nashville SC) has kept 6 clean sheets this season
Matt Freese (New York City) has recorded 3 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Nashville SC holds a significant home advantage
The team averages 2.33 goals scored and 0.89 goals conceded per home game