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Major League Soccer

Sporting KC - New York RB

05/24/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 2
预期进球
Sporting KC
1.3
Total xG
3.4
New York RB
2.1
最可能的比分

1:1

10%

1:2

10%

0:2

7%

1:3

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
SKNYR

Sporting KC

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-0.71
防守不足 (场均失2.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.71
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.25
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第6位, 相差9位)
-0.13
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.06
Manu García替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

New York RB

小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
-0.72
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第15位, 相差9位)
+0.09
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.07
Emil Forsberg 替补席 (1球, 3助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.75
+0.75
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

22%

平局

23%

客胜

55%

进球数

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

45%

Under 3.5

55%

双重机会

主胜或平局

45%

客胜或平局

78%

非平局

77%

双方进球

66%

34%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for New York RB with 55% probability
  • New York RB is expected to score 2.12 goals and faces a Sporting KC defense that concedes an average of 2.62 goals per game this season
  • Both teams are counter-oriented in their tactical approaches, Sporting KC averages 5.2 shots on target and New York RB 4.2 shots on target
风险因素
  • New York RB's away defense shows weaknesses, with an average of 2.83 goals conceded per away game
  • Sporting KC exhibits a positive offensive trend (1.2 recent goals vs. 1.0 season average), which could challenge the away favoritism
  • The single head-to-head match between these teams resulted in a draw, offering no strong historical precedent for an away victory
概述

Sporting KC (15th place, 11 points) hosts New York RB (6th place, 19 points) in Major League Soccer

The match takes place on May 24, 2026, 2:30 AM

New York RB enters the game as favorites with a mathematical win probability of 55%

Sporting KC seeks to gather crucial points in the relegation battle

近期状态

Sporting KC's current form across all competitions is LDLWW

This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last five games

The last result was a win, the second to last also a win, with two consecutive wins

New York RB's form across all competitions is LLWWD

This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last five games

The last result was a draw, the second to last a win, with one consecutive draw

Sporting KC scored 3 goals against LA Galaxy and 1 goal against Seattle Sounders in their last two home games

New York RB recently achieved a 3-1 away win against Chicago Fire but suffered 2-0 losses against Dallas and Cincinnati

统计数据

Sporting KC averages 1.0 goals scored and 2.62 goals conceded per game this season

At home, Sporting KC averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded

New York RB averages 1.64 goals scored and 2.21 goals conceded per game this season

Away, New York RB averages 1.67 goals scored and 2.83 goals conceded

Sporting KC has 0 clean sheets this season, New York RB has 1

For Sporting KC, 8 games ended with both teams scoring and 11 games with over 2.5 goals

For New York RB, 10 games ended with both teams scoring and 9 games with over 2.5 goals

According to advanced stats, Sporting KC is currently scoring more frequently (1.2) than their season average (1.0)

New York RB's goal production is stagnant (1.4), while the season average is 1.6

历史交锋

There has only been 1 head-to-head match between Sporting KC and New York RB so far

This ended in a 1-1 draw on September 7, 2024

Both teams scored 1 goal each

The historical record thus shows no dominance from either team

关键球员

For Sporting KC, Dejan Joveljić, Calvin Harris, and Capita are important offensive players

Dejan Joveljić has scored 6 goals and provided 1 assist in 13 appearances, with a last 5 games rating of 7.06

Calvin Harris has 1 goal and 3 assists in 13 appearances, showing rising form and a last 5 games rating of 7.07

Capita scored 1 goal in 7 appearances and has a last 5 games rating of 6.63

For New York RB, Julian Hall, Cade Cowell, and Jorge Ruvalcaba are crucial

Julian Hall shines with 9 goals and 2 assists in 14 appearances, with 3 goals in the last 5 games

Cade Cowell contributed 1 goal and 4 assists in 12 appearances, with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games

Jorge Ruvalcaba scored 5 goals in 14 appearances and 2 goals in the last 5 games

Not nominated for Sporting KC is Manu García (1G/2A)

Not nominated for New York RB is Emil Forsberg (1G/3A)

门将

Sporting KC's goalkeeper, Stefan Cleveland, has not kept a clean sheet in 4 appearances

Sporting KC's team has 0 clean sheets this season

New York RB's goalkeeper, Ethan Horvath, has played in 14 appearances

New York RB's team has 1 clean sheet this season

影响因素

Sporting KC scores an average of 1.0 goals and concedes 1.5 goals at home

New York RB scores an average of 1.67 goals and concedes 2.83 goals away

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