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Major League Soccer

Atlanta United - New England

04/22/2026, 11:45 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Atlanta United
1.3
Total xG
2.6
New England
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
AUNE

Atlanta United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.62倍)
-0.92
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.44
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第5位, 相差9位)
-0.13
防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.06
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.02
Emmanuel Latte Lath替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Miguel Almirón未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅40%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.2球 vs 总体0.9球)

New England

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.18
状态上升 (2.6 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.18
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第14位, 相差9位)
+0.06
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.03
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.7倍)
+0.00
Brayan Ceballos未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

30%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

70%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Atlanta United's offensive strength is significantly reduced, with only 41% of usual starting XI goal threat available
  • New England shows strong current form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a very close outcome with a 37% home win probability
风险因素
  • Atlanta United only scores an average of 0.75 home goals per game
  • New England conceded an average of 8.0 goals in their single away game of the season
概述

Atlanta United host New England in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 22, 2026, 11:45 PM. Atlanta United are in 14th place with 4 points. New England are in 5th place with 12 points. It's a clash between a team in the bottom third of the table and a team from the upper half of the league

近期状态

Atlanta United's form across all competitions is WLDLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 games. They recently suffered 3 consecutive losses. New England's form is WLWWW. They secured 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. New England enters this game with 3 consecutive wins

统计数据

Atlanta United averages 0.75 goals scored per game and concedes 1.75 goals. Currently, Atlanta United scores more frequently (1.0 goals) than their season average (0.9 goals). At home, they average 0.75 goals scored and 1.12 goals conceded. The team kept 1 clean sheet. New England boasts a season average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded. Currently, New England scores more frequently (2.6 goals) than their season average (2.0 goals). In their only away game, they scored 2.0 goals and conceded 8.0 goals. New England recorded 2 clean sheets

历史交锋

In the 4 previous head-to-head matches, Atlanta United won 1 and New England won 3. The overall goal difference stands at 5:6 in favor of New England. New England won the last encounter on September 27, 2025, with a 2-0 score. New England has been the more dominant team in recent meetings

关键球员

Aleksey Miranchuk (Midfielder) has scored 4 goals this season and has an average rating of 7.16. Matías Galarza Fonda (Midfielder) has a season rating of 7.02. Enea Mihaj (Defender) has a season rating of 6.69. Luca Langoni (Attacker) for New England has 1 goal and 6 assists with a rating of 7.10. Dor Turgeman (Attacker) has 2 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 6.94. Alhassan Yusuf (Midfielder) scored 2 goals and has a rating of 7.05. Not nominated: Brayan Ceballos (2G/0A)

门将

Lucas Hoyos, Atlanta United's goalkeeper, recorded 1 clean sheet this season. Matt Turner, New England's goalkeeper, kept 2 clean sheets this season

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