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Major League Soccer

Sporting KC - Houston Dynamo

08/02/2026, 12:30 AM

0 : 2
预期进球
Sporting KC
1.2
Total xG
2.5
Houston Dynamo
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
SKHD

Sporting KC

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.88
防守不足 (场均失2.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.70
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.31
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第6位, 相差9位)
-0.12
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.10
Manu García替补席 (2球, 4助攻)

Houston Dynamo

防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.16
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.07
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第15位, 相差9位)
+0.06
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
-0.01
Mateusz Bogusz替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.73
+0.73
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

30%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

70%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Balanced goal expectation: The model predicts a slight advantage for the away side with 1.33 expected goals compared to 1.20 for the hosts
  • Offensive form trends: Sporting KC is currently scoring more frequently at 1.4 goals per match compared to their season average of 1.1
  • Squad impact: Sporting KC is missing key midfielder Manu García (2 goals, 4 assists) from the starting lineup, reducing their offensive power
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability of Sporting KC: The hosts concede an average of 2.59 goals per game and have kept zero home clean sheets
  • Houston's away struggles: Houston Dynamo concedes an average of 2.12 goals per away game
  • Limited data on weather conditions
概述

Sporting KC hosts Houston Dynamo at Children's Mercy Park

Major League Soccer match on August 2, 2026, 12:30 AM

Sporting KC is currently in 15th place with 14 points

Houston Dynamo travels to this fixture in 6th place with 26 points

Houston enters the match as slight favorites

近期状态

Sporting KC form: WLLWL

Their most recent match ended in a 0-4 defeat away to Los Angeles FC

Sporting KC recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five matches

Houston Dynamo form: LWDDW

Their most recent match was a 3-0 home win against Austin

Houston Dynamo recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches

Explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sporting KC scores an average of 1.06 goals and concedes 2.59 goals per game this season

At home, the host scores an average of 1.1 goals and concedes 1.5 goals

Houston Dynamo scores an average of 1.44 goals and concedes 1.5 goals per game

Away from home, Houston Dynamo concedes an average of 2.12 goals and scores 1.38 goals

Sporting KC has kept zero clean sheets in their home matches this season

历史交锋

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC has 1 win, Houston Dynamo has 1 win, and there were 2 draws

The goal difference in these matches is 5-4 in favor of Sporting KC

The last meeting on October 19, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw

The recent direct record between the teams is perfectly even

关键球员

Dejan Joveljić plays in attack for Sporting KC and has scored 8 goals and 1 assist in 17 appearances

Calvin Harris recorded 2 goals and 3 assists in 17 matches for the home team

Guilherme is Houston's top attacker with 9 goals and 5 assists in 16 appearances

门将

Stefan Cleveland played 8 matches for Sporting KC this season and has kept zero clean sheets

Jonathan Bond played 16 matches for Houston Dynamo and kept 5 clean sheets

影响因素

Children's Mercy Park features a natural grass surface

An average of 3.2 goals are scored per match at this stadium

Both teams scored in all 5 home matches evaluated at this venue, representing a 100% BTTS rate

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