🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew - Orlando City

04/12/2026, 11:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Columbus Crew
1.9
Total xG
2.9
Orlando City
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
CCOC

Columbus Crew

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.28
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.12
全员可用

Orlando City

防守不足 (场均失3.8球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+2.65
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.5倍)
-0.61
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.41
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.01
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体0.8球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.61
+0.61
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

24%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

76%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Orlando City's Defensive Vulnerability: The team concedes an average of 3.83 goals per game.
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis favors Columbus Crew with a 58% win probability.
  • Better Form for Columbus Crew: With 1 win and 2 draws in their last 5 games, their form is more stable than their opponent's.
风险因素
  • Orlando City's Attacking Weakness: The team scores an average of only 0.83 goals per game.
  • Columbus Crew's Conceding Record: The team concedes an average of 1.5 goals per game.
  • Draw Probability: The model predicts a 25% chance of a draw.
概述

Columbus Crew (11th place, 5 points) host Orlando City (15th place, 3 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM. Both teams are in the lower half of the table, seeking crucial points to improve their position. The mathematical analysis gives Columbus Crew a clear favorite role with a 58% win probability.

近期状态

Columbus Crew's last five games show a form of DDLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The team recorded 1 win and 2 draws, while suffering 2 losses. Their last match was a win.

Orlando City's form in their last five games is LLWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The team secured 1 win but also suffered 4 losses. Their last match was a loss, and they have now recorded 2 consecutive losses.

统计数据

Columbus Crew averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game this season. The team kept 1 clean sheet, both teams scored in 4 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 matches. Columbus Crew failed to score in 2 games.

Orlando City averages 0.83 goals scored and a high 3.83 goals conceded per game this season. The team kept 0 clean sheets, both teams scored in 3 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in all 6 matches. Orlando City failed to score in 3 games. The pipeline analysis predicts 1.93 goals for Columbus Crew and 0.98 goals for Orlando City.

历史交锋

In the 4 previous head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew secured 2 wins, Orlando City 1 win, and there was 1 draw. Columbus Crew scored a total of 8 goals, while Orlando City scored 7 goals. The last encounter, on October 4, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw. Recent head-to-head results indicate a slight dominance for the home team.

关键球员

For Columbus Crew, Wessam Abou Ali (5 goals, 1 assist, Ø 7.05 rating), Max Arfsten (1 goal, 2 assists, Ø 7.27 rating), and Diego Rossi (2 goals, 0 assists, Ø 6.78 rating) are key offensive players. Wessam Abou Ali shows a declining form with 2 goals in his last 4 games, while Max Arfsten and Diego Rossi also have slightly declining or stable forms.

For Orlando City, Martín Ojeda (2 goals, 0 assists, Ø 7.06 rating), Iván Angulo (0 goals, 2 assists, Ø 6.74 rating), and Tiago (1 goal, 0 assists, Ø 6.70 rating) are noteworthy. Martín Ojeda shows stable form with 2 goals in 5 games, Iván Angulo is also stable with 2 assists in 5 games, and Tiago shows stable form, scoring 1 goal in 5 games.

门将

Patrick Schulte (Columbus Crew) has played in 6 games this season, achieving an average rating of 6.75. His team recorded 1 clean sheet this season.

Maxime Crépeau (Orlando City) has played in 5 games and has an average rating of 6.14. His team has recorded 0 clean sheets this season. Maxime Crépeau shows a declining form.

影响因素

The provided dataset does not list any specific venue statistics or weather influences.

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。