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Major League Soccer

Minnesota United - San Diego

08/02/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Minnesota United
1.6
Total xG
2.7
San Diego
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
MUSD

Minnesota United

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.29
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.20
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.18
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.16
Kelvin Yeboah替补席 (8球, 0助攻)
45%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.6球 vs 总体1.3球)

San Diego

小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.37
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.11
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
+0.11
Alex Mighten替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.73
+0.73
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

28%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

51%

非平局

72%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Away attacking trend: San Diego currently scores more frequently (2.2) than their season average (1.8)
  • Minnesota's home defense: The hosts concede an average of only 1.0 goals in their own stadium
  • Tactical dominance: San Diego recently averaged 5.6 shots on target with 59.4% possession
风险因素
  • Missing offensive power for Minnesota United: Top scorer Kelvin Yeboah is missing from the squad
  • Disastrous away defense: San Diego concedes an average of 3.25 goals on the road
  • Low scoring history at Allianz Field: The stadium averages a low 1.6 goals per game
概述

Minnesota United (9th place, 23 points) host San Diego (12th place, 20 points)

Major League Soccer match at Allianz Field on August 2, 2026, 2:30 AM

Both teams aim to secure crucial points to climb the table

The mathematical model estimates a home win probability of 49%

近期状态

Minnesota United is winless in five matches with a form of LLDLD

The hosts recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in this period

San Diego enters with a form of WDLLW, registering 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses recently

The trend is slightly upward for the visitors after their recent 1:0 victory against Dallas

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Minnesota United scores 1.12 goals and concedes 1.41 goals on average this season

San Diego features a strong attack with 1.82 goals scored per game but concedes 1.65 goals

On the road, San Diego concedes an average of 3.25 goals while scoring 1.75 goals

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches in history

The record is completely even with 2 wins for each team

The last encounter ended in a 2:1 home victory

关键球员

For Minnesota United, Joaquín Pereyra (1 goal, 6 assists) and Anthony Markanich Jr. (4 goals, 2 assists) are key

San Diego relies on Marcus Ingvartsen with 11 goals and Anders Dreyer with 6 goals and 7 assists

Not nominated for Minnesota United: Kelvin Yeboah

Not nominated for San Diego: Alex Mighten

门将

Goalkeeper Drake Callender recorded 5 clean sheets for Minnesota United this season

For San Diego, CJ dos Santos has made 4 appearances so far

San Diego has achieved 5 clean sheets overall this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Allianz Field

The stadium has a low scoring average of 1.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in only 40% of the games at Allianz Field

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