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Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids - Sporting KC

08/16/2026, 01:30 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
Colorado Rapids
1.7
Total xG
2.6
Sporting KC
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

1:2

5%
xG 分解
CRSK

Colorado Rapids

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.24
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.24
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.07
Hamzat Ojediran替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Lucas Herrington未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅93%可用)

Sporting KC

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.53倍)
-0.71
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.27
Manu García替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

53%

平局

28%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

47%

非平局

72%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Model prediction: A home win is mathematically calculated at a 53% probability
  • Defensive contrast: Colorado concedes only 0.82 goals per home match, whereas Sporting KC concedes an average of 4.14 goals away from home
  • Tactical shooting: Sporting KC averaged 4.6 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Colorado's 3.8
风险因素
  • Struggling offense: Colorado's goal production stagnated recently at an average of 0.8 goals compared to their seasonal average of 1.6
  • Defensive instability: Sporting KC has failed to record a single clean sheet throughout this season
  • Away vulnerability: Sporting KC concedes an average of extreme 4.14 goals per match away from home
概述

Colorado Rapids host Sporting KC

Major League Soccer match on August 16, 2026, 3:30 AM

Colorado is in 11th place with 22 points

Sporting KC is in 15th place with 14 points

Crucial match in the lower standings

近期状态

Colorado Rapids form is LLWLW

Most recent match was a 1-0 win against Austin

Sporting KC form is LLWLL

Summary shows Colorado with 2 wins and 3 losses, Sporting with 1 win and 4 losses

统计数据

Colorado averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game

Home record for Colorado: 1.55 goals scored and 0.82 goals conceded on average

Sporting KC scores 1.0 goal and concedes 2.56 per game on average

Away from home, Sporting KC struggles heavily with 4.14 goals conceded on average

历史交锋

5 head-to-head matches in total

2 home team wins and 3 away team wins

Goal record of 10:12

Last encounter ended in a 4-1 win for the home team

关键球员

Rafael Navarro has 9 goals and 3 assists with a 7.26 rating

Paxten Aaronson contributes 4 goals and 4 assists with a 7.18 rating

Loïc Williams scored 1 goal with a 7.21 rating

Dejan Joveljić records 8 goals and 1 assist with a 7.00 rating

Calvin Harris scored 2 goals and provided 3 assists with a 6.72 rating

Capita contributes 2 goals and 1 assist with a 6.76 rating

Not nominated: Hamzat Ojediran (1G/1A) and Lucas Herrington (1G/1A) for Colorado, Manu García (2G/4A) for Sporting KC

门将

Nicolas Hansen recorded 5 clean sheets for Colorado with a 7.01 rating

Stefan Cleveland has kept 0 clean sheets for Sporting KC this season

Cleveland averages a rating of 6.59

影响因素

Colorado shows home strength with 1.55 goals scored and 0.82 conceded on average

Matches at Dick's Sporting Goods Park average 2.8 total goals

The game will be played on natural grass

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