Major League Soccer
Cincinnati - New York RB
04/25/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
2.0
3.7
1.7
2:1
9%2:2
7%1:2
7%3:1
6%3:2
5%xG 分解
Cincinnati
New York RB
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
24%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
71%
Under 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
50%
Under 3.5
50%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
71%
否
29%
关键因素
- New York RB's squad impact is critically reduced: Only 46% of the usual starting eleven's goal threat is available, with Julian Hall (6G/2A), Emil Forsberg (1G/2A), and Jorge Ruvalcaba (3G/0A) not in the lineup
- Cincinnati's offense shows a positive form trend, scoring more frequently with an average of 2.8 goals in recent matches compared to their season average of 1.9 goals
- The mathematical model predicts a higher-scoring game: The probability for both teams to score is 71%, and for over 2.5 goals it is 71%. Expected goals are 2.0 for the home team and 1.7 for the away team
风险因素
- Both teams, Cincinnati and New York RB, have only 3 days of rest since their last match
- New York RB concedes an average of 3.5 goals per away game this season
- New York RB averaged 4.2 shots on target in their last 5 games, which is considered average
概述
Cincinnati (11th place, 9 points) host New York RB (8th place, 12 points)
Major League Soccer match on April 25, 2026, 7:30 PM
Cincinnati looks to improve its position in the table
近期状态
Cincinnati's form across all competitions is WLDDD
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games
New York RB's form across all competitions is LWDLD
They recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games
Cincinnati recently drew their last three matches, including a 4-4 against New York City and a 3-3 against Chicago Fire
New York RB most recently drew 4-4 against DC United after a 1-4 loss to CF Montréal
统计数据
Cincinnati averages 1.89 goals scored per game and concedes 2.56 goals per game
At home, Cincinnati averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded
New York RB averages 1.78 goals scored per game and concedes 2.56 goals per game
Away, New York RB averages 1.75 goals scored and 3.5 goals conceded
Both teams scored (BTTS) in 6 of Cincinnati's games and 7 of New York RB's games
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 5 of Cincinnati's games and 7 of New York RB's games
历史交锋
There have been a total of 5 head-to-head matches between these teams
New York RB won 3 of these encounters, Cincinnati won 2, with 0 draws
New York RB scored 9 goals in these matches, Cincinnati 6 goals
The last encounter on April 4, 2026, saw New York RB win 4-2 at home
New York RB has been recently dominant in these matchups
关键球员
Kévin Denkey (Attacker) for Cincinnati has 4 season goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.08
In the last 5 games, he scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist with an average rating of 7.17, showing a stable trend
Evander (Midfielder) for Cincinnati has 2 season goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.38
In the last 5 games, he scored 2 goals and provided 0 assists with an average rating of 7.58, showing a rising trend
Pavel Bucha (Midfielder) for Cincinnati has 1 season goal and 1 assist with an average rating of 6.81
In the last 5 games, he scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist with an average rating of 6.80, showing a stable trend
Ronald Donkor (Midfielder) for New York RB has 1 season goal and 3 assists with an average rating of 7.11
In the last 5 games, he scored 1 goal and provided 3 assists with an average rating of 7.17, showing a stable trend
Adri Mehmeti (Midfielder) for New York RB has 1 season goal and 2 assists with an average rating of 6.92
In the last 5 games, he scored 1 goal and provided 0 assists with an average rating of 6.73, showing a stable trend
Cade Cowell (Attacker) for New York RB has 0 season goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 6.74
In the last 5 games, he scored 0 goals and provided 1 assist with an average rating of 6.68, showing a stable trend
门将
Roman Celentano of Cincinnati has an average season rating of 6.7 and achieved 1 clean sheet
His form trend shows a decline in the last 5 games with an average rating of 6.46
Ethan Horvath of New York RB has an average season rating of 6.67 and also recorded 1 clean sheet
His recent form trend is declining with an average rating of 6.27 in the last 5 games
影响因素
Cincinnati scores an average of 1.8 home goals and concedes 1.4 home goals
New York RB scores an average of 1.75 away goals and concedes 3.5 away goals
No weather data or specific venue history is available for this match