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Major League Soccer

DC United - Orlando City

04/25/2026, 11:30 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
DC United
1.7
Total xG
2.7
Orlando City
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

1:2

6%
xG 分解
DUOC

DC United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.46
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.21
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.10
防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.09
Tai Baribo替补席 (6球, 0助攻)
70%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)

Orlando City

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.47倍)
-0.77
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.47
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.03
Tiago替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Marco Pašalić未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅96%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

53%

平局

27%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

47%

非平局

73%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for DC United with a 53% probability
  • Orlando City conceded 17 goals in their single away game
  • DC United is currently scoring more frequently (1.3 goals per game) than their season average (1.1 goals per game) according to Advanced Stats
风险因素
  • Tai Baribo is missing for DC United, with only 63% of the usual starting XI goal threat available
  • DC United has only 3 days rest since their last match
  • Orlando City has only 3 days rest since their last match
概述

DC United (10th place, 9 points) host Orlando City (13th place, 7 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 25, 2026, 7:30 PM. Both teams are in the lower half of the table and are fighting to move up

近期状态

DC United's form is DLLDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) across all competitions. The team recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games. Their last two matches ended in a draw. Orlando City's form is LLDLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) across all competitions. They achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five encounters. Orlando City won their most recent match

统计数据

DC United averages 0.89 goals scored per game and concedes 1.44 goals per game this season. At home, they scored 2 goals and conceded 6 in two games, averaging 1 home goal and 3 goals conceded per home game. Orlando City averages 1.11 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 2.89 goals. In their single away game, they scored 1 goal and conceded 17. The mathematical analysis predicts 1.70 expected goals for DC United and 0.97 for Orlando City. According to Advanced Stats, DC United is currently scoring more frequently (1.3 goals per game) than their season average (1.1 goals per game), indicating a positive trend. Orlando City scores consistently (approximately 1.1 goals per game)

历史交锋

In four previous head-to-head matches, DC United failed to secure a win, while Orlando City claimed three victories. One match ended in a draw. The goal difference of 13:4 clearly favors Orlando City. The last encounter on September 13, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw

关键球员

For DC United, Peglow stands out with 3 assists this season, including 2 in the last 5 games, showing stable form. Jackson Hopkins recorded 1 goal and 2 assists this season, with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games. Matti Peltola registered 1 season goal. For Orlando City, Martín Ojeda is the most potent scorer with 4 season goals, 2 of which came in the last 5 matches, maintaining stable form. Iván Angulo provided 3 assists this season, including one in the last 5 games. Luis Otávio contributed 1 season goal, which he also scored in the last 5 games

门将

Sean Johnson of DC United made 9 appearances this season with an average rating of 6.78. His rating in the last 5 games was 6.64. DC United has kept 3 clean sheets so far. Maxime Crépeau of Orlando City has played 8 times with an average rating of 6.55, and 6.66 in the last 5 games. Orlando City has not kept a clean sheet this season

影响因素

DC United scored 2 goals and conceded 6 goals in 2 home games. Orlando City scored 1 goal and conceded 17 goals in a single away game

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