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Major League Soccer

Nashville SC - Inter Miami

08/16/2026, 12:30 AM

4 : 1
预期进球
Nashville SC
1.4
Total xG
3.0
Inter Miami
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
NSIM

Nashville SC

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.82
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.32
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.30
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
-0.30
Ahmed Qasem替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Inter Miami

防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.53
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.29倍)
+0.37
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.04
Germán Berterame未进大名单 (7球, 4助攻)
Mateo Silvetti未进大名单 (3球, 4助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

27%

客胜

42%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

58%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

73%

双方进球

是

61%

否

39%

关键因素
  • Inter Miami's offensive dominance averaging 6.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • H2H dominance for Inter Miami with 4 wins from the last 5 direct duels
  • The outstanding form of Luis Suárez with 7 goals in his last 5 matches
风险因素
  • Nashville's stagnating goal production averaging 1.2 goals recently compared to 2.2 on season average
  • Low offensive threat from Nashville SC averaging only 2.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Miami's defensive vulnerability conceding an average of 1.5 goals per away game
概述

Top clash in Major League Soccer at GEODIS Park

League leaders Nashville SC with 40 points host second-placed Inter Miami with 38 points

A direct battle for the top spot on August 16, 2026, 2:30 AM

近期状态

Nashville SC with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games (Form-String: WWWLD)

Inter Miami is unbeaten in 5 matches with 4 wins and 1 draw (Form-String: WWWWD)

While Nashville's form trend is declining, Miami remains stable

统计数据

Inter Miami boasts a dangerous attack with 45 goals scored (avg 2.5 per game)

Nashville SC stands out defensively, conceding just 14 goals in 18 games (avg 0.78 per game)

In away matches, Inter Miami scores an average of 2.4 goals per game

历史交锋

Clear historical dominance for Inter Miami with 4 wins from 5 head-to-head matches

Nashville SC has won only one direct encounter in this period

The last direct duel ended in a clear 4:0 victory for Inter Miami

关键球员

Sam Surridge shines for Nashville with 11 goals in 12 league appearances

Lionel Messi leads Miami with 12 goals and 8 assists this season

Luis Suárez is in outstanding shape with 7 goals in his last 5 matches

门将

Brian Schwake starts in goal for Nashville with 8 clean sheets this season

Rocco Ríos Novo has made 4 appearances for Miami with 4 clean sheets recorded

影响因素

GEODIS Park has averaged 2.8 total goals per game in recent matches

The natural grass surface at GEODIS Park provides standard conditions for both teams

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