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Major League Soccer

Minnesota United - Real Salt Lake

05/23/2026, 08:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Minnesota United
1.7
Total xG
2.9
Real Salt Lake
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
MURSL

Minnesota United

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.29
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.13
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.03
Kelvin Yeboah替补席 (8球, 0助攻)
43%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.8球 vs 总体1.3球)

Real Salt Lake

小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.34
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.04
Diego Luna未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Morgan Guilavogui未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.75
+0.75
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

50%

平局

27%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

50%

非平局

73%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Minnesota United with 50%
  • Real Salt Lake's strong offense averages 1.92 goals per game and records Ø 7.0 shots on target in the last 5 games
  • Minnesota United has been more dominant in recent head-to-head matches, winning 2 out of 5 while Real Salt Lake won none
风险因素
  • Real Salt Lake concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game
  • Minnesota United showed weaker form in the last 5 games with 3 losses
概述

Minnesota United (7th place, 21 points) host Real Salt Lake (3rd place, 25 points) in Major League Soccer

The match takes place on May 23, 2026, 10:30 PM

Real Salt Lake currently holds a better league position

近期状态

Minnesota United's form in the last five league games is LWDLL

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

The team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Most recently, there were two consecutive losses

Real Salt Lake shows a form of LWLWW

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

The team achieved 3 wins and 2 losses

This includes two consecutive wins

统计数据

Minnesota United scores an average of 1.21 goals per game and concedes 1.5 goals

At home, they average 1.25 goals scored and 1 goal conceded

Both teams scored in 7 matches, and 8 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

Real Salt Lake scores an average of 1.92 goals per game and concedes 1.38 goals

Away, they average 1.75 goals scored and 2.5 goals conceded

Both teams scored in 9 matches, and 10 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In the 5 head-to-head matches between the two teams, Minnesota United secured 2 wins

Real Salt Lake achieved no wins

3 matches ended in a draw

The goal difference is 6:2 in favor of Minnesota United

Minnesota United won the last match 3:1 on August 24, 2025

Minnesota United has been more dominant in recent encounters

关键球员

For Minnesota United, Anthony Markanich Jr. (4 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 7.14 Rating), Joaquín Pereyra (1 goal, 4 assists, Avg. 7.20 Rating), and Tomás Chancalay (1 goal, 4 assists, Avg. 7.03 Rating) are important players

Markanich Jr. showed 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.32

Pereyra scored 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Kelvin Yeboah (8 goals, 0 assists) is not in the lineup, leaving 80% of the usual starting XI goal threat available

For Real Salt Lake, Zavier Gozo (6 goals, 3 assists, Avg. 7.30 Rating), Sergi Solans (6 goals, 3 assists, Avg. 7.00 Rating), and Juan Manuel Sanabria (0 goals, 4 assists, Avg. 7.09 Rating) are crucial

Gozo scored 4 goals in the last 5 games, and Sergi Solans 1 goal and 2 assists

Diego Luna (4 goals, 1 assist) and Morgan Guilavogui (1 goal, 3 assists) are not in the lineup, with 98% of the usual starting XI goal threat and 95% of assists remaining available

门将

Minnesota United's goalkeeper, Drake Callender, has achieved 4 clean sheets this season and has an average rating of 6.85

His form has been slightly declining recently

Real Salt Lake's goalkeeper Rafael Cabral has recorded 2 clean sheets this season and has an average rating of 6.91

影响因素

Minnesota United scores an average of 1.25 goals at home and concedes 1 goal

Real Salt Lake shows vulnerability away, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per away game while scoring 1.75 goals themselves

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