Major League Soccer
Inter Miami - New York RB
04/11/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.7
3.5
1.8
1:2
8%2:1
8%2:2
7%1:3
5%3:1
5%xG 分解
Inter Miami
New York RB
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
25%
客胜
39%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
68%
Under 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
46%
Under 3.5
54%
双重机会
主胜或平局
61%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
70%
否
30%
关键因素
- Strong form of Inter Miami: The home team is unbeaten in their last 5 games, showing a positive trend
- Historical dominance: Inter Miami has won 3 of 4 direct encounters against New York RB, scoring significantly more goals
- High goal expectation: The mathematical analysis predicts a high-scoring game with 68% probability for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score
风险因素
- Weak away defense: New York RB concedes an average of 2.67 goals per away game
- Balanced prediction: The pipeline predicts a very close outcome with 39% away win and 36% home win probabilities
- Injuries for New York RB: J. Che (Hamstring Injury) and A. Marcucci (Cruciate Ligament Injury) are out, C. Harper is doubtful
概述
Inter Miami (4th place, 11 points) host New York RB (7th place, 10 points) in Major League Soccer
The match takes place on April 11, 2026, 7:30 PM
Both teams are in the upper half of the table, vying to solidify their playoff positions
近期状态
Inter Miami is in good form with a WWDWD record (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
Inter Miami recently drew 2-2 against Austin
New York RB has shown inconsistent form with a WLDLW record (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
They won their last game 4-2 against Cincinnati
统计数据
Inter Miami averaged 1.83 goals scored per game this season and conceded 1.67 goals
They kept 1 clean sheet
Both teams scored in 4 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 5 games
New York RB scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 2.17 goals per match
They kept 1 clean sheet
Both teams scored in 4 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 games
Inter Miami scored 2 goals and conceded 2 goals in their single home game
New York RB conceded an average of 2.67 goals per away game
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami secured 3 wins, while New York RB won 1 time
There have been no draws between the two teams
Inter Miami scored a total of 15 goals, New York RB 8 goals
Inter Miami won the last encounter 5-1 away on July 19, 2025
关键球员
For Inter Miami, Lionel Messi is a key player with 5 goals and 1 assist in 5 season appearances
Telasco Segovia contributed 1 goal and 3 assists in 6 appearances
Mateo Silvetti scored 1 goal and 1 assist in 6 games
For New York RB, Julian Hall stands out with 5 season goals in 6 games
Emil Forsberg recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in 6 appearances
Adri Mehmeti has provided 2 assists in 6 season games
门将
Inter Miami's goalkeeper Dayne St. Clair had 1 clean sheet for his team in 5 appearances
New York RB's goalkeeper Ethan Horvath made 6 appearances and contributed to 1 clean sheet for his team
影响因素
Inter Miami scored 2 goals and conceded 2 goals in their single home game
New York RB conceded an average of 2.67 goals per away game
Home advantage could play a role for Inter Miami, especially against the opponent's vulnerable away defense