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Major League Soccer

Nashville SC - DC United

05/10/2026, 01:15 AM

2 : 2
预期进球
Nashville SC
1.6
Total xG
2.9
DC United
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
NSDU

Nashville SC

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-1.16
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.29倍)
-0.61
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.34
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.31
状态下滑 (2 vs 2.6 赛季平均)
-0.19
Patrick Yazbek替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Warren Madrigal替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
22%进球产出缺失 (仅91%可用)

DC United

防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.39
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.24
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
-0.16
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.11
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.10

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

27%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

73%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Nashville SC's strong home record with an average of 2.0 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded in the season
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 46% for Nashville SC and 1.65 expected home goals
  • DC United shows a positive offensive form development, with an average of 2.25 goals in recent games, compared to 1.18 in the season average
风险因素
  • Nashville SC's goal production has slightly decreased recently, with an average of 2.0 goals in the last games compared to 2.6 in the season average
  • DC United has a slightly better record in past head-to-head matches, with 2 wins compared to 1 win for Nashville SC
  • DC United's counter-oriented playing style, with an average of 4.8 shots on target, could challenge Nashville SC's defense
概述

Nashville SC (1st place, 23 points) host DC United (5th place, 15 points) in Major League Soccer

May 10, 2026, 1:15 AM

Nashville SC is currently the league leader, while DC United is positioned in the middle of the table

近期状态

Nashville SC's last 5 matches show a form of LWWWD

This corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Their last match ended in a draw

DC United has a form of LDDWW

These are 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 games

Their last match was a win

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Nashville SC scored an average of 2.1 goals per game this season and conceded only 0.6 goals per game

In home games, the average is 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded

They kept a clean sheet in 5 matches

DC United scored an average of 1.18 goals per game this season and conceded 1.36 goals

Away, they scored an average of 1.14 goals and conceded 1.0 goals

DC United kept a clean sheet in 4 matches

In 4 games involving both teams, both teams scored, and in 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for Nashville SC, 2 wins for DC United, and 1 draw

The goal difference is 5:6 in favor of DC United

The last encounter on June 28, 2025, ended with a 1:0 victory for Nashville SC

DC United proved to be the more dominant team in recent direct encounters

关键球员

For Nashville SC, Hany Mukhtar is a key player, contributing 3 goals and 4 assists in 10 season appearances, achieving an average rating of 7.22

Cristian Espinoza showed 3 goals and 3 assists in 10 games with a rating of 7.36, though his form recently declined slightly

Andy Nájar is a rising performer in defense with 2 assists and a rating of 7.08 in 9 games

For DC United, Louis Munteanu stands out, scoring 3 goals in 7 appearances with a rating of 6.98, showing rising form

Jackson Hopkins contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in 11 games with a rating of 6.95

Matti Peltola scored 1 goal in 11 games and achieved a rating of 7.06

门将

For Nashville SC, Brian Schwake is in goal, achieving an average rating of 6.84 in 10 season appearances and contributing to 5 clean sheets

For DC United, Sean Johnson is the goalkeeper, with an average rating of 6.83 in 11 appearances and 4 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Nashville SC showed strong offense and solid defense at home, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded

DC United scored an average of 1.14 goals away and conceded 1.0 goals, representing a solid but less dominant away performance

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