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Major League Soccer

New York RB - Columbus Crew

05/13/2026, 11:30 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
New York RB
1.4
Total xG
3.2
Columbus Crew
1.8
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

0:2

7%

2:2

7%
xG 分解
NYRCC

New York RB

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.62倍)
-1.17
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.66
防守不足 (场均失2.3球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.41
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.01
10%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)

Columbus Crew

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.38倍)
+1.17
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.65
防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.44
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
Diego Rossi替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
38%进球产出缺失 (仅69%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

25%

客胜

46%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

54%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

75%

双方进球

65%

35%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Columbus Crew with 46%
  • Columbus Crew dominated recent head-to-head matches, winning the last encounter 3:1
  • New York RB conceded an average of 2.33 goals per game this season, indicating a defensive weakness
风险因素
  • Columbus Crew is missing Diego Rossi, with only 70% of the usual starting XI goal production available
  • Columbus Crew had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Columbus Crew conceded an average of 1.86 goals per away game
概述

New York RB (9th place, 15 points) host Columbus Crew (11th place, 12 points) at Red Bull Arena

Major League Soccer match on May 13, 2026, 11:30 PM

Both teams are in the middle of the table and aim to improve their standings

近期状态

New York RB's form across all competitions is LDLLW

The team recently recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Columbus Crew's form across all competitions is LWWLL

They have achieved 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 games

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

New York RB averages 1.58 goals scored per game and concedes 2.33 goals

Columbus Crew averages 1.33 goals scored per game and concedes 1.58 goals

New York RB has seen both teams score in 8 out of 12 games (BTTS)

Columbus Crew has seen both teams score in 8 out of 12 games (BTTS)

An average of 4.2 goals are scored per game at Red Bull Arena

In 4 out of 5 games at this stadium, both teams scored (BTTS rate 80%)

3 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals (Over 2.5 rate 60%)

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches between the two teams, New York RB secured 1 win

Columbus Crew won 2 encounters, while 2 matches ended in a draw

The goal difference is 6:8 in favor of Columbus Crew

The last meeting on October 18, 2025, ended in a 3:1 victory for Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew dominated recent matchups

关键球员

Jorge Ruvalcaba is an important attacker with 4 season goals

Ronald Donkor shines with 1 season goal and 4 assists

Julian Hall has scored 6 season goals and provided 2 assists

Max Arfsten showed goal threat with 3 season goals and 4 assists

Taha Habroune is a midfield engine with 1 season goal and 2 assists

Hugo Picard contributed 1 season goal and 1 assist

门将

Ethan Horvath of New York RB has achieved 1 clean sheet this season

Patrick Schulte of Columbus Crew has kept 2 clean sheets

影响因素

New York RB scored an average of 1.5 goals in home games and conceded 1.83 goals

Columbus Crew scored an average of 1.29 goals away and conceded 1.86 goals

Red Bull Arena has seen an average of 4.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches

The probability of both teams scoring is 80% at this stadium

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of the last 5 games at Red Bull Arena

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