Major League Soccer
New York City - Cincinnati
04/22/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.8
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
New York City
Cincinnati
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
28%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Severe Away Weakness: Cincinnati concedes an average of 6.00 goals per away game
- Offensive Form Trend: Cincinnati is currently scoring more frequently (2.2 goals) than their season average (1.6 goals)
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis favors New York City with a 44% win probability
风险因素
- Keaton Parks (2G/0A) is not in New York City's lineup, affecting 7% of the usual starting XI's goal threat
- Cincinnati has had only 4 days rest since their last match
概述
New York City (7th place, 11 points) host Cincinnati (10th place, 8 points) in a Major League Soccer fixture
The match is scheduled for April 22, 2026, 11:30 PM
New York City are 3 points ahead of Cincinnati in the league table and aim to improve their standing
近期状态
New York City's form across all competitions is WLDLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
They have recorded two consecutive losses recently
Cincinnati shows a form of LWLDD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
They have recently played two consecutive draws
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
New York City averages 1.88 goals scored per game and concedes 1.38 goals
At home, they are stronger offensively with an average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded
Cincinnati averages 1.63 goals scored per game and concedes 2.38 goals
Away from home, they have scored an average of 2.00 goals but conceded an alarming 6.00 goals per game
New York City has 1 clean sheet, Cincinnati also has 1
Both teams scored in 6 New York City games and 5 Cincinnati games
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 5 New York City games and 4 Cincinnati games
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York City dominated with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Cincinnati
One match ended in a draw
New York City scored a total of 5 goals, while Cincinnati managed 2 goals
The last encounter was won by Cincinnati with a 1:0 score on August 23, 2025
关键球员
Nicolás Fernández Mercau is an important midfielder with 6 season goals and shows stable form with 4 goals in his last 5 games
Maxi Moralez has provided 5 assists this season and holds an average rating of 7.42
Agustín Ojeda contributes to the offense with 2 season goals and 1 assist
For Cincinnati, Kévin Denkey is crucial with 2 season goals and 1 assist, scoring 1 goal in his last 5 games
Ender Echenique has contributed 1 season goal and 2 assists, showing stable form
Evander, a midfielder, records 1 goal and 1 assist this season and shows a rising form trend
门将
New York City's goalkeeper, Matt Freese, has played in 8 games with an average rating of 6.95
New York City has recorded 1 clean sheet this season
Roman Celentano is Cincinnati's goalkeeper, playing in 6 matches with a rating of 6.76
Cincinnati has achieved 1 clean sheet this season
影响因素
New York City's home strength is reflected in an average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded per home game
Cincinnati concedes an average of 6.00 goals per away game, indicating significant away weakness