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Major League Soccer

CF Montréal - Orlando City

05/09/2026, 08:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
CF Montréal
1.7
Total xG
2.7
Orlando City
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
CMOC

CF Montréal

防守实力 (场均失2.3球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.38
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.27
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.08
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
全员可用

Orlando City

小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.32
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.23
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.23
Tiago替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Zakaria Taifi替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

53%

平局

27%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

47%

非平局

73%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Strong Home Defense: CF Montréal has conceded an average of only 0.75 goals per home game
  • Weak Away Defense: Orlando City concedes an extremely high average of 4.6 goals per away game
  • Home Win Forecast: The mathematical model predicts a home win with a 53% probability and 1.73 predicted goals for CF Montréal
风险因素
  • Head-to-Head: Orlando City is unbeaten against CF Montréal in their last 5 direct encounters (1 win, 4 draws)
  • Orlando City's Rising Offense: Orlando City's offense shows a positive form trend, with an average of 2.2 goals per game recently compared to the season average of 1.45 goals
概述

CF Montréal (Place 14, 9 points) host Orlando City (Place 13, 10 points) in the Major League Soccer. The match takes place on May 09, 2026, 10:30 PM. Both teams are fighting for crucial points at the bottom of the table.

近期状态

CF Montréal's current form (last 5 games): LLWWL (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). Orlando City's form: DLWLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss. CF Montréal suffered a loss in their last game, while Orlando City comes into this match with a win.

统计数据

CF Montréal scores an average of 1.4 goals per game and concedes 2.3 goals. Orlando City has an average of 1.45 goals scored and 2.91 goals conceded per game. In home games, CF Montréal scores an average of 1.5 goals and concedes 0.75 goals. Orlando City concedes an average of 4.6 goals per away game. Both teams scored in 5 CF Montréal games and 7 Orlando City games. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 9 CF Montréal games and 9 Orlando City games.

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, there were 4 draws. CF Montréal has not won any of these duels, while Orlando City has recorded 1 win. The last encounter on March 14, 2026, ended with a 1:2 win for Orlando City. Overall, CF Montréal scored 4 goals, and Orlando City scored 5 goals.

关键球员

For CF Montréal, Prince Owusu (6 goals, 5 assists, Avg. 7.26 Rating) with stable form, Matty Longstaff (2 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 7.19 Rating) with rising form and Wikelman José Carmona Torres (3 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.48 Rating) with declining form are important players. For Orlando City, Martín Ojeda (7 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 7.39 Rating) with rising form, Justin Ellis (1 goal, 2 assists, Avg. 7.04 Rating) with stable form and Tyrese Spicer (2 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 7.09 Rating) with rising form are significant players. According to Orlando City's lineup check, Tiago (1T/1A) and Zakaria Taifi (0T/2A) are not in the lineup.

门将

CF Montréal's goalkeeper, Thomas Guilier, and Orlando City's goalkeeper, Maxime Crépeau, face each other. CF Montréal recorded 2 clean sheets, while Orlando City has not managed a single clean sheet this season.

影响因素

CF Montréal shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.5 goals scored and only 0.75 goals conceded per home game. In contrast, Orlando City concedes an average of 4.6 goals per away game.

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