Major League Soccer
Toronto - Philadelphia Union
04/22/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.8
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
7%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Toronto
Philadelphia Union
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
43%
平局
28%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
57%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Mathematical analysis: Toronto has a home win probability of 43%
- Current form: Toronto is unbeaten in 5 games (DWWDD), while Philadelphia Union shows a weaker record (LLLWD)
- Offensive strength: Toronto averaged 6.4 shots on target in their last 5 games, compared to Philadelphia Union's 3.8 shots
风险因素
- The mathematical analysis indicates a draw probability of 28%
- Toronto has conceded an average of 1.33 home goals per game this season
概述
Toronto (6th place, 12 points) host Philadelphia Union (13th place, 4 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 22, 2026, 7:30 PM. Toronto aims to consolidate its position in the table, while Philadelphia Union seeks to move away from the bottom.
近期状态
Toronto is in good form with a DWWDD (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) record in their last five games across all competitions. Their last match ended in a draw. Philadelphia Union shows weaker form with LLLWD (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses) in their last five games across all competitions, with their last match being a draw. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss. Toronto scored 10 goals and conceded 8 in their last five games, while Philadelphia Union scored 5 goals and conceded 8.
统计数据
Toronto averages 1.63 goals scored per game and concedes 1.75 goals per game this season. At home, they score 1.67 goals and concede 1.33 goals per home game. Philadelphia Union averages 0.75 goals scored per game and concedes 1.5 goals per game. Away from home, they score 0.8 goals and concede 1.4 goals per away game. Both teams scored in 6 of Toronto's games and 5 of Philadelphia Union's games (BTTS). Over 2.5 goals occurred in 5 games for both teams this season.
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, both Toronto and Philadelphia Union have secured 1 win each, with 2 draws. Both teams have scored 4 goals in these encounters. The last meeting on August 9, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw, confirming the even balance of recent results.
关键球员
For Toronto, Dániel Sallói (3 goals, 1 assist), Richie Laryea (2 goals, 1 assist), and Josh Sargent (1 goal, 1 assist) are key players. For Philadelphia Union, Milan Iloski (1 goal, 1 assist), Japhet Sery Larsen (1 goal, 0 assists), and Jesús Bueno (1 goal, 0 assists) stand out. A. Anello (1 goal, 0 assists) is not nominated for Philadelphia Union.
门将
Toronto's goalkeeper Luka Gavran has an average rating of 6.53 in 8 season appearances and kept 1 clean sheet. Andre Blake, Philadelphia Union's goalkeeper, has an average rating of 6.85 in 8 season appearances and also kept 1 clean sheet.
影响因素
Toronto demonstrates a solid home performance, averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded per game. Philadelphia Union scores an average of 0.8 goals and concedes 1.4 goals per away game, indicating lower offensive efficiency. The provided dataset does not contain specific venue or weather data.