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Major League Soccer

Austin - Houston Dynamo

04/26/2026, 12:30 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
Austin
1.5
Total xG
2.7
Houston Dynamo
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
AUSHD

Austin

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.89
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.46
防守实力 (场均失2.4球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.45
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.03
Jon Bell替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

Houston Dynamo

防守实力 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.73
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.03
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

29%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis favors Austin for a home win with 43%, compared to 29% for Houston Dynamo
  • Houston Dynamo comes into the match in improved form with two consecutive wins, while Austin remained winless in their last 5 games
  • Austin is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals) than their season average (1.5 goals), while Houston concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Austin had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Houston Dynamo had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Houston Dynamo concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game
概述

Austin (12th place, 7 points) host Houston Dynamo (9th place, 12 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 26, 2026, 12:30 AM. Austin is looking to move out of the relegation zone, while Houston aims to solidify their mid-table position. The mathematical analysis gives the home team a 43% chance of winning.

近期状态

Austin's form across all competitions is DDLDL, indicating 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Their last match was a 1-5 away defeat to SJ Earthquakes. Houston Dynamo enters the game with LLLWW form, which means 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses. Houston has won their last two matches, including a 1-0 away victory against Orlando City. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Austin has an average of 1.33 goals scored per game this season and conceded 2.11 goals on average. At home, they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded per home game. Austin kept 2 clean sheets and both teams scored in 7 matches. Houston Dynamo averages 1.5 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per game. Away from home, Houston conceded an average of 2.5 goals. Houston kept 2 clean sheets and both teams scored in 4 matches. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 7 of Austin's 9 matches. For Houston, this occurred in 4 of 8 matches.

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin secured 2 wins, Houston Dynamo also had 2 wins, and there was 1 draw. Austin scored 4 goals in these encounters, while Houston Dynamo scored 5. The most recent clash on August 10, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw. The head-to-head record between the teams is even.

关键球员

For Austin, Facundo Torres (1 goal, 3 assists, avg rating 7.24) and Myrto Uzuni (2 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 6.82) are key attackers, whose form has recently declined slightly. Christian Ramirez (2 goals, 0 assists, avg rating 6.75) shows stable form. For Houston Dynamo, Guilherme (5 goals, 4 assists, avg rating 8.23) with stable form and Lawrence Ennali (2 goals, 0 assists, avg rating 6.67) stand out. Héctor Herrera (1 goal, 0 assists, avg rating 6.79) also shows stable form with an improved average rating in his last 5 games.

门将

Austin will start with goalkeeper Brad Stuver, who has made 9 appearances this season and kept 2 clean sheets. For Houston Dynamo, Jonathan Bond is in goal. He has played 8 matches this season and also achieved 2 clean sheets.

影响因素

Austin scores an average of 1.33 goals per home game and concedes an average of 1.33 goals at home. Houston Dynamo concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game but also scores 1.5 goals away. No specific historical venue data or pitch surface influence data is available.

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