Major League Soccer
New England - DC United
04/11/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.6
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
6%2:2
5%xG 分解
New England
DC United
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
28%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- DC United is missing critical players; without Tai Baribo, only 52% of goal production is available
- New England's strong home offense with an average of 2.25 goals scored per home game
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 47% probability
风险因素
- DC United averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
- The mathematical analysis indicates a draw probability of 28%
- DC United historically dominated in head-to-head matches
概述
New England (10th place, 6 points) hosts DC United (8th place, 7 points) in a Major League Soccer match on April 11, 2026, 7:30 PM
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a probability of 47%
近期状态
New England's form in the last five games is LLWLW
This corresponds to 2 wins and 3 losses
DC United's form across all competitions is LLWDL
This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last five matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
New England averages 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per game this season
At home, they are particularly strong with an average of 2.25 goals scored and only 0.25 goals conceded per home game
DC United averages 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded per season
Away from home, they have averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded
New England kept 1 clean sheet, while DC United kept 2 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 3 of New England's games and in 2 of DC United's games
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 of New England's games and in 3 of DC United's games
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches between New England and DC United, there has been 1 home win, 2 away wins, and 1 draw
New England scored a total of 5 goals, DC United scored 6 goals
The last encounter was won by New England on August 9, 2025, with a score of 2:0
The historical record indicates a slight dominance by DC United
关键球员
For New England, Luca Langoni is an important attacker with 1 goal and 5 assists
Brayan Ceballos is stable in defense with 2 goals and an average rating of 7.39
Carles Gil supports the midfield with 1 assist and a rating of 7.3
For DC United, Matti Peltola is an important midfielder with 1 goal
Jackson Hopkins provided 1 assist in midfield
Peglow contributed 1 assist
门将
New England's goalkeeper Matt Turner recorded 1 clean sheet in 5 appearances
DC United's goalkeeper Sean Johnson recorded 2 clean sheets in 6 appearances
影响因素
New England shows a strong home record, with an average of 2.25 goals scored and only 0.25 goals conceded per home game
This indicates a clear home advantage