Major League Soccer
Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers
07/17/2026, 02:30 AM
预期进球
2.1
3.1
1.0
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
10%3:1
7%3:0
7%xG 分解
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
61%
平局
23%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
40%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Extreme away weakness of the visitors: Portland concedes an average of 3.4 goals per away match
- Tactical dominance: Seattle recently averaged a strong 6.4 shots on target per game
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a clear home win probability of 61%
风险因素
- Stalling goal production for Seattle: Recently only 1.0 goals per game compared to the season average of 1.4
- Dangerous away attack: Portland is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average of 1.6
- Lack of consistency: Both teams have lost their last 2 matches in a row
概述
Seattle Sounders (6th place, 24 points) host Portland Timbers (13th place, 14 points) at Lumen Field
Major League Soccer match on July 17, 2026, 4:30 AM
Favorites role for the home team from Seattle with a 61% calculated home win probability
近期状态
Seattle Sounders with form DDWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Missing momentum with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games
Portland Timbers show form LWDLL
Away team with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses recently
Both Seattle and Portland lost their last 2 matches in a row
统计数据
Seattle Sounders score an average of 1.33 goals in home games and concede 0.78 goals
Defensively stable with overall only 0.85 goals conceded per game this season
Portland Timbers are dangerous offensively averaging 1.57 goals, but extremely weak in defense
The visitors concede an astronomical average of 3.4 goals per away game with 0 clean sheets on the road
历史交锋
5 head-to-head matches in historical records
2 wins for Seattle Sounders, 1 win for Portland Timbers, and 2 draws
Goal difference of 5 to 4 goals in favor of Seattle
The last meeting on October 5, 2025, ended in a 1-0 win for Seattle
关键球员
Jesús Ferreira with 2 goals and 4 assists with an average rating of 7.28
Albert Rusnák with 3 season goals and 3 assists with a rating of 7.31
Paul Rothrock with 4 goals and 1 assist this season
Kevin Kelsy with 5 season goals and 2 assists with a rating of 7.00
Cole Bassett with 2 goals and 2 assists with a strong rating of 7.38
David Da Costa with 1 goal and 3 assists in the current season
门将
Andrew Thomas for Seattle Sounders with 5 clean sheets in 13 appearances this season
James Pantemis in goal for Portland Timbers with 1 clean sheet in 14 appearances and an average rating of 7.21
影响因素
The game will be played on artificial turf at Lumen Field
Seattle Sounders with a home record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss (12:7 goals) on artificial turf
Portland Timbers with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses (16:14 goals) on this surface
Stadion history shows an average of 3.6 goals per game with both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 matches