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Major League Soccer

SJ Earthquakes - Dallas

05/17/2026, 02:30 AM

2 : 3
预期进球
SJ Earthquakes
1.8
Total xG
2.9
Dallas
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
SEDAL

SJ Earthquakes

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-1.07
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.44倍)
-0.29
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.17
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.05
Jack Skahan替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均2.8球 vs 总体2.2球)

Dallas

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.44
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.25
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
-0.14
Ran Binyamin替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体2.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.75
+0.75
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

26%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

74%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Strong Home Record: SJ Earthquakes are in 2nd place with 29 points and average 2.33 goals scored at home
  • Mathematical Forecast: The analysis gives SJ Earthquakes a 51% chance of winning, with 1.80 predicted home goals
  • Dallas' Form: Dallas' goal production has recently stalled at 1.6 goals per game, and their form trend is negative
风险因素
  • Fatigue: Both teams had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Limited data available for duel statistics
概述

SJ Earthquakes (2nd place, 29 points) host Dallas (7th place, 19 points) in a Major League Soccer match on May 17, 2026, 3:30 AM. The home team is positioned in the upper half of the table, while Dallas is in mid-table

近期状态

SJ Earthquakes show a form of WWDDL (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) in their last five games. Their last match ended in a 2-3 away loss against Seattle Sounders. Dallas enters the game with a form of LLWWL (2 wins, 3 losses). Their last home game against Vancouver Whitecaps resulted in a 2-3 loss. According to Advanced Stats description, SJ Earthquakes consistently score an average of 2.3 goals per game, while Dallas' goal production recently faltered at 1.6 goals, with a season average of 2.1. SJ Earthquakes' form trend is stable, whereas Dallas' is rated as negative

统计数据

SJ Earthquakes average 2.23 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded per season. At home, these values improve to 2.33 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded per home game. They kept 5 clean sheets this season, 3 of which were at home. Both teams scored in 7 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 7 matches. Dallas has averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.46 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they score 1.75 goals and concede 0.75 goals. Dallas kept 3 clean sheets this season, 2 of which were away. Both teams scored in 8 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 matches

历史交锋

In four past head-to-head matches, SJ Earthquakes secured two wins, Dallas won one game, and one match ended in a draw. SJ Earthquakes scored 10 goals, Dallas 8. The last encounter on July 17, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw. SJ Earthquakes have been dominant in recent direct confrontations

关键球员

Preston Judd (Attacker) is a key offensive player with 9 goals and 2 assists, holding a season average rating of 7.22 and stable form. Ousseni Bouda (Attacker) contributed 5 goals and 1 assist, with a season average rating of 7.01 and stable form. Beau Leroux (Midfielder) has 1 goal and 3 assists to his name and a season average rating of 7.16, though his form is declining. Jack Skahan is not nominated for SJ Earthquakes. Petar Musa (Attacker) is a crucial player for Dallas with 11 goals and 2 assists, and a season average rating of 7.47, but his form is declining. Santiago Moreno (Attacker) scored 1 goal and 1 assist with a season average rating of 6.98 and stable form. Nolan Norris (Defender) contributed 1 goal and has a season average rating of 6.95, with stable form. Ran Binyamin is not nominated for Dallas

门将

For SJ Earthquakes, goalkeeper Daniel made 13 appearances and kept 5 clean sheets. Dallas' goalkeeper, Jonathan Sirois, has not made any appearances this season, so no clean sheet data is available for him

影响因素

SJ Earthquakes benefit from a home advantage, as they score an average of 2.33 goals at home and concede only 0.5 goals. Dallas shows a solid defense away from home, conceding an average of 0.75 goals per game

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