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Major League Soccer

SJ Earthquakes - LA Galaxy

07/26/2026, 02:30 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
SJ Earthquakes
1.9
Total xG
3.0
LA Galaxy
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

3:1

6%

3:0

6%
xG 分解
SELG

SJ Earthquakes

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.72
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
-0.16
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
-0.10
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第10位, 相差8位)
+0.07
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.04
N. Tsakiris未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)

LA Galaxy

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.27
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.20
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.10
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第2位, 相差8位)
-0.10
Gabriel Pec未进大名单 (5球, 4助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

55%

平局

25%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

45%

非平局

75%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis favors SJ Earthquakes with a 55% probability and predicts 1.93 expected goals for the home team
  • SJ Earthquakes averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches while maintaining a counter-oriented average possession of 42%
  • LA Galaxy showed defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.56 goals per away game this season
风险因素
  • Both teams enter the match with a short recovery period of only 3 days since their last game
  • Gabriel Pec (5 goals and 4 assists) is not starting, leaving LA Galaxy with only 84% of their usual offensive strength available
  • According to recent performance data, both clubs are in a negative form trend with three losses in their last five matches
概述

SJ Earthquakes host LA Galaxy

Major League Soccer match on July 26, 2026, 4:30 AM

The second-placed team (32 points) faces the tenth-placed team (20 points) at Stanford Stadium

近期状态

SJ Earthquakes show the form DLLWL after a loss against Orlando City

LA Galaxy present the form LWDLL following a defeat against St. Louis City

统计数据

SJ Earthquakes score an average of 2.13 goals and concede 1.19 per match this season

LA Galaxy average 1.35 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game

The visitors concede an average of 1.56 goals in away matches

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches

LA Galaxy lead with 3 wins to 1 win for SJ Earthquakes and 1 draw

The last meeting on June 29, 2025 ended in a 1:1 draw

关键球员

Preston Judd with 11 goals and Timo Werner with 4 goals and 3 assists are the main threats

Beau Leroux has recorded 2 goals and 3 assists this season

Marco Reus with 4 goals and 5 assists along with Joseph Paintsil with 3 goals and 2 assists drive the attack

Lucas Sanabria has contributed 2 goals so far

门将

Angus Gunn is in goal for the hosts, averaging a season rating of 6.14

The home team has kept 5 clean sheets this season

J. Marcinkowski guards the net for the visitors with an average rating of 7.00

The away team has recorded 2 clean sheets so far

影响因素

The clash takes place at Stanford Stadium

SJ Earthquakes average 2.0 goals per home match

LA Galaxy face difficulties away from home, conceding an average of 1.56 goals per game

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