🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

San Diego - Dallas

07/26/2026, 01:30 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
San Diego
1.5
Total xG
3.0
Dallas
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

2:2

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
SDDAL

San Diego

排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第4位, 相差9位)
-0.15
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.12
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.10
David Vazquez替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Amahl Pellegrino未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Luca Bombino未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
17%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)

Dallas

最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.08
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第13位, 相差9位)
+0.07
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
-0.03
Petar Musa替补席 (13球, 2助攻)
Ran Binyamin替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
19%进球产出缺失 (仅86%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

27%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

73%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Possession battle: San Diego recently averaged 55.2% possession compared to Dallas' counter-oriented style with an average of 38.6% possession
  • Offensive surge: Both teams are scoring more frequently recently (San Diego averaging 2.2 goals and Dallas 2.4 goals) compared to their season averages
  • High-scoring trend: Snapdragon Stadium features a high average of 4.2 goals per game, which matches their last head-to-head encounter that ended 3:3
风险因素
  • Fatigue factor: Both teams face a tight schedule with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Defensive vulnerability: San Diego concedes an average of 1.75 goals per game this season
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions for a precise environmental analysis
概述

San Diego (13th place, 17 points) host Dallas (4th place, 26 points) at the Snapdragon Stadium

Major League Soccer match on July 26, 2026, 3:30 AM

The mathematical model predicts a highly balanced match with 1.50 expected goals for the hosts and 1.51 for the visitors

近期状态

San Diego shows a weak form trend of DWDLL and lost their last match

Dallas is in good shape with WLWWD and recently secured a draw

Form explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

San Diego scores 1.88 goals and concedes 1.75 goals per game on average

Dallas is defensively more stable conceding 1.5 goals while scoring 2.0 goals on average

San Diego averages 1.92 goals at home while Dallas scores 2.0 goals on average away from home

历史交锋

In 3 direct duels San Diego won 2 times with 1 draw recorded

The goal difference is 11:5 in favor of San Diego

Their last meeting on March 15, 2026 ended in a high-scoring 3:3 draw

关键球员

Marcus Ingvartsen scored 11 goals in 16 appearances this season

Anders Dreyer stands out with 6 goals and 7 assists

For Dallas Logan Farrington scored 6 goals and assisted 2 times

Not in squad: David Vazquez, Amahl Pellegrino, Luca Bombino for San Diego, and Petar Musa, Ran Binyamin for Dallas

门将

CJ dos Santos has 3 appearances and helped secure 3 clean sheets for San Diego

Daniel played 1 game for Dallas while the team recorded 2 away clean sheets this season

影响因素

Snapdragon Stadium has a high average of 4.2 goals per game

On natural grass both teams have shown productive attacking numbers

Both sides have only 3 days of rest since their last match

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。