🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

New England - Toronto

07/22/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
New England
1.5
Total xG
2.5
Toronto
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:0

10%

2:0

9%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
NETOR

New England

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.7倍)
-0.80
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.31
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.17
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第11位, 相差7位)
+0.05
Luca Langoni替补席 (3球, 6助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅79%可用)

Toronto

防守实力 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.69
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.57倍)
-0.62
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.31
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.10
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第4位, 相差7位)
-0.07
Kobe Franklin替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Derrick Etienne Jr.替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

30%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

70%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Defensive discrepancy: New England concede just 0.64 goals on average at home, while Toronto allow 3.67 goals per away game
  • Turf specialists: New England achieved 8 wins on artificial turf, whereas Toronto lost both games on this surface
  • Possession advantage: New England dominated recent matches with an average of 55% possession
风险因素
  • Lack of penetration: New England averaged only 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • Severe away weakness: Toronto concede an average of 3.67 goals per away match
  • Toothless away attack: Toronto averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
概述

New England host Toronto at Gillette Stadium

MLS match on July 23, 2026, 1:30 AM

Fourth-place New England face eleventh-place Toronto

New England aim to strengthen their position in the playoff spots

近期状态

New England form: WWLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Inconsistent recent performances for the hosts with 3 wins and 2 losses

Toronto form: DLLLD

The visitors are struggling with no wins in their last 5 games, recording 3 losses and 2 draws

统计数据

New England average 1.57 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded per game

Toronto score an average of 1.47 goals per match but concede 1.93 goals

New England are defensively solid at home, conceding only 0.64 goals on average

Toronto concede an average of 3.67 goals per away game

历史交锋

Two wins for Toronto and one for New England in the last 4 head-to-head matches

The last direct encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on September 13, 2025

Balanced goal difference with 3 goals scored by each team in this period

关键球员

Carles Gil stands out with 5 goals, 3 assists, and a season rating of 7.42

Dor Turgeman contributed 2 goals and 5 assists in 14 appearances this season

Dániel Sallói is a key factor in Toronto's attack with 4 goals and 3 assists

门将

Matt Turner guards the goal for New England with a season average rating of 7.22

Toronto's Luka Gavran holding a season rating of 6.59 and has scored one goal this season

Both keepers aim to bring stability to their defensive lines

影响因素

New England have an outstanding record of 8 wins and 2 losses on artificial turf

Toronto lost both of their matches on this surface, with a 1-6 goal difference

The surface at Gillette Stadium could represent a significant advantage for the home side

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。