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Major League Soccer

Nashville SC - CF Montréal

07/23/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Nashville SC
1.6
Total xG
3.0
CF Montréal
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
NSCM

Nashville SC

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.59
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.23
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第12位, 相差11位)
+0.09
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
-0.08
Cristian Espinoza未进大名单 (3球, 6助攻)
Warren Madrigal未进大名单 (5球, 3助攻)
Bryan Acosta替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Ahmed Qasem替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

CF Montréal

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.24倍)
+0.37
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.17
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第1位, 相差11位)
-0.17
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.13
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.01
Wikelman José Carmona Torres未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

27%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

73%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Strong home-away discrepancy: Nashville averages 2.18 goals at home, whereas Montréal concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away game
  • Squad depletion for Nashville: Only 75% of regular starting XI strength available due to the absence of key attackers Cristian Espinoza and Warren Madrigal
  • Model prediction: The mathematical analysis estimates Nashville SC's win probability at 41%
风险因素
  • Montréal's major away weakness, conceding an average of 3.0 goals per away game
  • Limited offensive options for Nashville due to the absence of 4 potential key players
概述

Nashville SC host CF Montréal

Major League Soccer match on July 23, 2026, 12:30 AM

League leaders Nashville SC (36 points) face 12th-placed CF Montréal (15 points)

The home side aims to defend their top spot

近期状态

Nashville SC form: DWWWW

CF Montréal form: WDLDD

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Nashville SC is unbeaten in 5 matches with 4 wins and 1 draw

CF Montréal recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss recently

统计数据

Nashville SC scores an average of 2.13 goals and concedes 0.73 goals per game

At home, Nashville SC scores an average of 2.18 goals

CF Montréal concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away game

At Nashville's venue, 4 of the last 5 games had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches

Nashville SC won 2 games, CF Montréal won 0, with 2 draws

The goal difference is 8:2 in favor of Nashville SC

The last match ended in a 1:1 draw on October 4, 2025

关键球员

Hany Mukhtar has scored 6 goals and provided 4 assists this season

Sam Surridge has scored 9 goals in 9 appearances this season

Prince Owusu is the top threat with 9 goals and 6 assists

门将

Brian Schwake played 15 matches for Nashville SC with a season average rating of 7.04

Sébastian Breza has not made an appearance for CF Montréal this season

Nashville SC has recorded 7 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Strong home record for Nashville SC with 24 goals scored in 11 home matches

Matches at GEODIS Park averaged 3.8 goals per game recently

The game will be played on natural grass

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