Major League Soccer
SJ Earthquakes - Orlando City
07/23/2026, 02:30 AM
预期进球
2.6
3.5
1.0
2:1
9%3:0
8%3:1
8%4:0
5%4:1
5%xG 分解
SJ Earthquakes
Orlando City
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
71%
平局
18%
客胜
11%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
68%
Under 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
47%
Under 3.5
53%
双重机会
主胜或平局
89%
客胜或平局
29%
非平局
82%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Extreme defensive weakness: Orlando City concedes an average of 5.17 goals per away game
- Strong mathematical favorite: The model calculates a 71% home win probability for SJ Earthquakes
- Efficient home attack: SJ Earthquakes score an average of 2.29 goals per home match
风险因素
- Key player missing: Martín Ojeda is not starting, leaving Orlando City with only 60% of their typical goal-scoring threat
- Guest attack trend: Orlando City has been scoring more frequently recently, averaging 2.2 goals compared to their 1.5 season average
概述
SJ Earthquakes host Orlando City at PayPal Park
Major League Soccer match on July 23, 2026, 4:30 AM
The second-placed team (32 points) faces the 13th-placed team (14 points)
The hosts are clear favorites for this match
近期状态
SJ Earthquakes form: DDLLW
Most recently they won 3-1 against Portland Timbers after four winless games
Orlando City form: WLWDL
Most recently they lost heavily 2-6 against Cincinnati
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
SJ Earthquakes average 2.27 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per season game
At home the Quakes score an average of 2.29 goals while conceding only 0.86 goals
Orlando City concedes an average of 2.93 goals per game this season
Particularly away their defense is highly vulnerable conceding an average of 5.17 goals
历史交锋
There has been one head-to-head match between these teams
Orlando City won that away match 1-0 on May 19, 2024
Historically Orlando City leads the matchup
关键球员
Preston Judd with 11 goals and 2 assists in 15 season matches
Timo Werner with 4 goals and 3 assists with an average rating of 7.44
Daniel Munie with 3 goals and 1 assist this season
Antoine Griezmann has 2 assists in his last 5 matches with a 7.15 rating
Griffin Dorsey with 2 goals and 1 assist this season
Justin Ellis scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists
门将
Angus Gunn was in goal for 4 of the last 5 matches for SJ Earthquakes
Maxime Crépeau appeared in 14 matches for Orlando City this season
SJ Earthquakes kept a clean sheet 5 times this season
Orlando City has not kept a single clean sheet this season
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at PayPal Park
In the 5 home matches played there an average of 3.4 goals were scored per game
Both teams scored and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of these matches