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Major League Soccer

Austin - St. Louis City

05/03/2026, 09:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Austin
1.4
Total xG
2.5
St. Louis City
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

0:2

5%
xG 分解
AUSSLC

Austin

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-1.07
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.53
防守实力 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.18
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.07
全员可用

St. Louis City

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.51
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.22
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.18
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.18
Daniel Ethan Edelman替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

30%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

70%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: Austin has a 41% win probability, higher than St. Louis City's 29%
  • Austin's home strength: Austin scores an average of 1.5 goals at home and concedes only 1.0 goals
  • Defensive weakness (Away): St. Louis City concedes an average of 3.33 goals per away game
风险因素
  • St. Louis City concedes an average of 3.33 goals per away game
  • The head-to-head record in the last four matches favors St. Louis City with two wins, one draw, and one loss, including a 3-1 victory in their last encounter
概述

Austin (12th place, 10 points) hosts St. Louis City (14th place, 6 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on May 3, 2026, 4:30 PM. Both teams are in the lower third of the table and are fighting to catch up.

近期状态

Austin's last five games show a form of DLDLW, which means one win, two draws, and two losses. Austin won their last match. St. Louis City's form in the last five matches is WDDLL, with one win, two draws, and two losses. St. Louis City suffered two consecutive losses recently. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Austin averages 1.4 goals scored per game and concedes 1.9 goals per game. At home, Austin scores an average of 1.5 goals and concedes only 1.0 goals. In 70% of Austin's matches, over 2.5 goals were scored, and in 70% both teams scored. Austin is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.6). St. Louis City averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.78 goals conceded per game. Away from home, St. Louis City scores an average of 1.0 goals and concedes an alarming 3.33 goals. Only 33% of St. Louis City's matches ended with over 2.5 goals, while in 67% both teams scored. St. Louis City is currently scoring more frequently (1.6) than their season average (1.0).

历史交锋

In four head-to-head matches, St. Louis City secured two wins, Austin one win, and there was one draw. Austin scored a total of four goals, while St. Louis City scored six goals. St. Louis City won the last encounter on October 5, 2025, with a 3-1 score.

关键球员

For Austin, Facundo Torres is a key player with one goal and four assists, holding an average rating of 7.29. Myrto Uzuni scored three goals and provided one assist with an average rating of 6.92. Christian Ramirez contributed two goals. For St. Louis City, Marcel Hartel is the standout player with three goals and one assist, holding an average rating of 7.76. Simon Becher has one goal and two assists. Chris Durkin has scored one goal this season. Not selected: Daniel Ethan Edelman (0 Goals/2 Assists).

门将

Austin's goalkeeper, Brad Stuver, has an average rating of 7.38 this season and kept three clean sheets. Roman Bürki, St. Louis City's goalkeeper, has an average rating of 6.78 and has not kept a clean sheet this season.

影响因素

Austin shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.5 goals scored and only 1.0 goals conceded. This indicates a home advantage, which is amplified by St. Louis City's away weakness.

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