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Major League Soccer

New York City - Charlotte

04/18/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
New York City
1.5
Total xG
2.9
Charlotte
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
NYCCHA

New York City

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.8倍)
-1.11
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.67
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.67
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.06
Keaton Parks替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
15%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)

Charlotte

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.76倍)
+0.38
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.30
状态上升 (3 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
+0.25
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.21
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.07
Liel Abada替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.5球 vs 总体2.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.66
+0.66
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

28%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

72%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • New York City's strong home offensive performance (Avg. 2.20 home goals) meets Charlotte's weak away defensive performance (Avg. 4.00 goals conceded).
  • New York City has won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Charlotte, while Charlotte was victorious only once.
  • Charlotte shows a positive offensive form development, with an average of 3.0 goals in recent matches, compared to their season average of 2.17 goals.
风险因素
  • Charlotte conceded an average of 4.00 goals per away game.
  • Charlotte's goalkeeper Kristijan Kahlina shows a declining form trend with a delta of -0.44.
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 39%, an away win with 33%, and a draw with 28%, indicating a close match.
概述

New York City (5th place, 11 points) host Charlotte (6th place, 11 points) in Major League Soccer action. The match takes place on April 19, 2026, 12:30 AM and is a crucial encounter in the race for playoff spots.

近期状态

New York City's current form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses (W/D/L: WWLDL). Their last game ended in a 0-2 loss against Vancouver Whitecaps.

Charlotte has three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches (W/D/L: WDWWL). Charlotte suffered a 1-2 defeat against Nashville SC in their last outing.

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

New York City averages 2.00 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 1.29 goals per game this season.

Charlotte scores an average of 1.86 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.29 goals per game.

At home, New York City is offensively strong, scoring an average of 2.20 goals and maintaining a stable defense with an average of 1.00 goals conceded.

Charlotte shows defensive weaknesses away from home, conceding an average of 4.00 goals per away game while scoring only 1.00 goal.

Both teams scored in 5 of New York City's 7 games and in 5 of Charlotte's 7 games.

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of New York City's 7 games and in 5 of Charlotte's 7 games.

历史交锋

In 5 previous head-to-head matches, New York City secured three victories, Charlotte won once, and one game ended in a draw.

The last encounter was on November 8, 2025, with New York City winning 3-1 away against Charlotte.

关键球员

For New York City, Nicolás Fernández Mercau with 5 goals and Maxi Moralez with 1 goal and 5 assists are important attacking forces this season. Agustín Ojeda has also contributed 2 goals and 1 assist.

For Charlotte, Pep Biel stands out with 4 goals and 2 assists, as does Wilfried Zaha with 2 goals and 2 assists. Idan Toklomati has scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist.

门将

New York City's goalkeeper Matt Freese has played 7 season games with an average rating of 7.02 and kept one clean sheet.

Kristijan Kahlina, Charlotte's goalkeeper, also played 7 season games with an average rating of 7.41 and kept one clean sheet, but shows a declining form trend with a delta of -0.44.

影响因素

New York City demonstrates a clear home advantage, scoring an average of 2.20 home goals and conceding only 1.00 goal per home game.

Charlotte, however, struggles significantly away from home, conceding an average of 4.00 goals per away game.

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