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Major League Soccer

Inter Miami - Orlando City

05/02/2026, 11:15 PM

3 : 4
预期进球
Inter Miami
2.1
Total xG
3.0
Orlando City
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
IMOC

Inter Miami

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.29
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.24
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第14位, 相差12位)
+0.12
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.03
Mateo Silvetti未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)

Orlando City

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.59倍)
-0.33
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.17
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第2位, 相差12位)
-0.13
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.06
Zakaria Taifi替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

61%

平局

23%

客胜

15%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

85%

客胜或平局

39%

非平局

77%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Inter Miami is the clear favorite with a home win probability of 61% according to mathematical analysis
  • Orlando City's away defense is extremely weak, conceding an average of 10.0 goals per away game
  • Inter Miami's form is stable to good with 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 games, while Orlando City recorded 3 losses and only 1 win in their last 5 matches
风险因素
  • Orlando City's defensive vulnerability away from home, conceding an average of 10.0 goals per away game
  • Inter Miami's recent trend of 3 draws in their last 5 matches, including 2 at home
  • Several injured players on both sides, including M. Silvetti and S. Reguilón Rodríguez for Inter Miami, and M. Pasalic and J. Gerbet for Orlando City
概述

Inter Miami (2nd place, 19 points) hosts Orlando City (14th place, 7 points) in Major League Soccer on May 2, 2026, 11:15 PM

Inter Miami aims to consolidate its top position, while Orlando City seeks to climb out of the lower table regions

近期状态

Inter Miami is unbeaten in their last 5 games with a form of DDWWD

This includes 2 wins and 3 draws

Their last match ended in a draw

Orlando City shows weaker form with LDLWL in their last 5 games

This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

They lost their most recent encounter

统计数据

Inter Miami averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game this season

At home, Inter Miami averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded

Both teams scored in 7 of 10 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 7 matches

Orlando City averages 1.2 goals scored and 2.9 goals conceded per game

Away from home, Orlando City concedes an extreme 10.0 goals per game and scores 1.5 goals

Both teams scored in 6 of 10 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 matches

历史交锋

In 5 direct encounters, the head-to-head record is even

Both teams won 2 matches each, and 1 game ended in a draw

Inter Miami scored a total of 10 goals, Orlando City 9 goals

The last meeting on March 2, 2026, was won by Orlando City at home with a score of 4:2

Recent dominance is assessed as even

关键球员

For Inter Miami, Lionel Messi is a crucial attacking player with 7 goals and 1 assist in 9 season appearances, holding an average rating of 8.01

Germán Berterame contributes with 3 goals and 2 assists, showing rising form and a rating of 6.94

Rodrigo De Paul is important in midfield with 2 goals and 2 assists and a rating of 7.64

For Orlando City, Martín Ojeda is the top scorer with 4 goals in 10 season appearances and a rating of 7.21

Iván Angulo has provided 3 assists with a rating of 6.67

Justin Ellis recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in 3 games with a rating of 7.01

门将

Inter Miami's goalkeeper, Dayne St. Clair, has recorded 2 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 6.7

Orlando City's goalkeeper, Maxime Crépeau, has not achieved any clean sheets this season with an average rating of 6.6

影响因素

Inter Miami shows a solid offense at home, averaging 1.67 goals per game

Orlando City is extremely vulnerable defensively away from home, conceding an average of 10.0 goals per away game

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