Major League Soccer
CF Montréal - Toronto
07/16/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.7
1.0
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
5%xG 分解
CF Montréal
Toronto
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
50%
平局
28%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
50%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- CF Montréal averaged 6.2 shots on target in recent matches, showing a strong offensive volume
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 50% with 1.64 expected goals for Montréal
- Toronto's form trend is heavily declining with 4 defeats in their last 5 matches
风险因素
- Prince Owusu, Wikelman José Carmona Torres, and Iván Jaime are missing, leaving only 37% of the seasonal goal threat available
- Toronto concedes an average of 3.67 goals per away match, showing severe defensive struggles on the road
- CF Montréal has failed to win any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Toronto, conceding 13 goals
概述
CF Montréal (12th place, 14 points) host Toronto (11th place, 14 points) at Stade Saputo
Major League Soccer match on July 16, 2026, 11:30 PM
A direct duel between two teams tied on points near the bottom of the table
近期状态
Montréal with form LWDLD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 games)
Most recently, they recorded a spectacular 4-4 draw against DC United
Toronto arrives with a form of LDLLL and three consecutive defeats
统计数据
Montréal scores an average of 1.57 goals and concedes 2.21 per match
Toronto also averages 1.57 goals scored but concedes 2.07 goals
The visitors show a high rate of both teams scoring with 12 out of 14 matches
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, Toronto has 3 wins and there was 1 draw
CF Montréal has not won any game with a goal ratio of 3-13
The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw on August 30, 2025
关键球员
Matty Longstaff convinces in midfield with 2 goals, 3 assists, and a rating of 7.02
Daniel Ríos recently contributed 2 goals in his last 5 games
For Toronto, Josh Sargent has been clinical with 2 goals in his recent matches
门将
Thomas Guilier is in goal for Montréal with an average home rating of 6.71
Luka Gavran guards Toronto's goal, having made 14 appearances so far this season
Montréal has recorded 3 clean sheets, whereas Toronto has only achieved 1
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at Stade Saputo
Historically, Stade Saputo sees an average of 2.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 40% of the past matches played at this venue