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Major League Soccer

Cincinnati - Inter Miami

05/13/2026, 11:30 PM

3 : 5
预期进球
Cincinnati
1.7
Total xG
3.1
Inter Miami
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
CINIM

Cincinnati

小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.32
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.24
状态上升 (2.8 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.24
全员可用

Inter Miami

防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.62
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.08
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.07
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体2.4球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

26%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

74%

双方进球

64%

36%

关键因素
  • Predicted Advantage: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win for Cincinnati with a 42% probability and 1.69 predicted goals
  • Offensive Strength: Both teams are showing positive offensive form, with Cincinnati recently averaging 2.8 goals per game and Inter Miami 2.6 goals
  • High-Scoring Match: The model predicts over 2.5 goals with a 61% probability and a 64% chance of both teams scoring
概述

Cincinnati (6th place, 16 points) hosts Inter Miami (3rd place, 22 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on May 13, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC. Inter Miami is higher in the table than Cincinnati and aims for further improvement in their standing.

近期状态

Cincinnati shows good form with a DDWWD record from the last five games (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The team recorded 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five matches

The last match ended in a draw, as did the one before that

Inter Miami has a form of WWDLW, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Inter Miami won their last match and lost the one before that

统计数据

Cincinnati averages 2.00 goals scored per game this season and concedes 2.25 goals

At home, these values improve to an average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded

The team kept 2 clean sheets and both teams scored in 8 matches

Inter Miami has a season average of 2.17 goals scored and 1.75 goals conceded

Away from home, Inter Miami is strong with an average of 2.25 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded

Inter Miami recorded 2 clean sheets and both teams scored in 9 matches

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, the record between Cincinnati and Inter Miami is even

Both teams have secured 2 wins each, with 1 match ending in a draw

Cincinnati scored 9 goals, while Inter Miami scored 7 goals

Inter Miami won the last encounter on November 23, 2025, with a score of 0:4

关键球员

For Cincinnati, Kévin Denkey is a key player, contributing 7 goals and 1 assist this season, scoring 5 goals in the last 5 games

Evander in midfield has 6 season goals and 1 assist, with 6 goals in the last 5 games

Pavel Bucha has 1 season goal and 3 assists, with 3 assists in the last 5 games

For Inter Miami, Lionel Messi is crucial with 9 goals and 4 assists this season, including 4 goals and 3 assists in the last 5 games

Rodrigo De Paul contributed 3 goals and 3 assists to the season's performance, with 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games

Telasco Segovia has 2 season goals and 5 assists, with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games

门将

Roman Celentano is Cincinnati's goalkeeper, achieving an average rating of 7.01 in 10 season appearances

Cincinnati kept 2 clean sheets

Dayne St. Clair is Inter Miami's goalkeeper, with an average rating of 6.73 in 11 season appearances

Inter Miami kept 2 clean sheets

影响因素

Cincinnati shows a solid offense at home with an average of 2.20 goals scored per home game

The home defense of Cincinnati concedes an average of 1.40 goals per home game

Inter Miami is offensively strong away from home with 2.25 goals scored per away game

The away defense of Inter Miami concedes an average of 1.50 goals per away game

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