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Major League Soccer

Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union

05/24/2026, 11:00 PM

6 : 4
预期进球
Inter Miami
1.9
Total xG
3.1
Philadelphia Union
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
IMPU

Inter Miami

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.29倍)
-0.36
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.20
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.14
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第15位, 相差13位)
+0.12
全员可用

Philadelphia Union

防守实力 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.63
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第2位, 相差13位)
-0.18
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.06
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.05

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

25%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

75%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • Inter Miami's current form with 3 consecutive wins contrasts with Philadelphia Union's 5-game winless streak
  • Inter Miami's offensive style (avg. 8.4 shots on target per game) surpasses Philadelphia Union's (avg. 4.0 shots on target per game)
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 51% and highlights Inter Miami's historical dominance with 3 wins from 4 head-to-head matches
概述

Inter Miami (2nd place, 28 points) hosts Philadelphia Union (15th place, 7 points) in Major League Soccer

Match on May 25, 2026, 12:00 AM

Inter Miami aims to consolidate their strong league position

Philadelphia Union is fighting to connect with the mid-table

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Inter Miami shows a form of DLWWW

They recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games

Inter Miami won their last 3 consecutive matches

Philadelphia Union has a form of LDLLD

They failed to secure a win in their last 5 games, with 2 draws and 3 losses

Their last match ended in a draw

统计数据

Inter Miami averages 2.36 goals scored and 1.71 goals conceded per game this season

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 10 matches

At home, Inter Miami averages 2.5 goals scored and 2.25 goals conceded per game

Philadelphia Union averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.71 goals conceded per game this season

Away from home, Philadelphia Union averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.64 goals conceded per game

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 8 of Philadelphia Union's matches

历史交锋

There have been a total of 4 head-to-head matches between both teams

Inter Miami won 3 of these encounters, while 1 match ended in a draw

Philadelphia Union has not won any of the previous direct duels

Inter Miami scored 10 goals in these matches, Philadelphia Union 6 goals

The last encounter on May 24, 2025, ended in a 3-3 draw

Inter Miami was dominant at home in recent direct duels

关键球员

Inter Miami relies on Lionel Messi, who contributed 12 goals and 6 assists this season, and scored 6 goals and 5 assists in the last 5 games

Rodrigo De Paul showed 3 goals and 4 assists this season, as well as 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 matches

Telasco Segovia contributed 2 goals and 6 assists to the season, with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games

For Philadelphia Union, Milan Iloski stands out with 4 goals and 1 assist this season and 2 goals in the last 5 games

Cavan Sullivan scored 1 goal and 1 assist this season and 1 goal in the last 5 games

Ben Bender showed 1 goal and 1 assist this season and also 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 3 played matches

门将

Inter Miami's goalkeeper Dayne St. Clair kept 3 clean sheets in 13 season games

Philadelphia Union's goalkeeper Andre Blake kept 2 clean sheets in 13 season games

影响因素

Inter Miami averages 2.5 home goals scored per game

They concede an average of 2.25 goals per home game

Philadelphia Union averages 1.0 away goal scored per game

They concede an average of 1.64 goals per away game

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