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Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders - San Diego

05/10/2026, 02:30 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Seattle Sounders
1.7
Total xG
2.7
San Diego
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
SSSD

Seattle Sounders

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-1.29
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.57
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.28
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.11
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第12位, 相差8位)
+0.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.01
全员可用

San Diego

小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.36
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.16
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第4位, 相差8位)
-0.09
Lewis Morgan 未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

27%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

73%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Favorites Role: Mathematical analysis favors Seattle Sounders with a 52% home win probability
  • Defensive Imbalance: Seattle Sounders' strong home defensive performance (0.33 goals conceded/home game) meets San Diego's vulnerable away defense (3.67 goals conceded/away game)
  • Form Trend: Seattle Sounders are unbeaten in 5 games ("DWWWD"), while San Diego recorded 4 losses and 1 draw ("LLLLD") in their last 5 matches
风险因素
  • Weak Away Defense: San Diego concedes an average of 3.67 goals per away game
  • Declining Goal Production: San Diego's goal production is currently slowing down with an average of 1.2 goals in recent games, while the season average is 1.7 goals
  • Extensive Injury List: San Diego has Lewis Morgan (Unknown Injury), J. Tverskov (Unknown Injury), C. Dos Santos (Head Injury), and other key players on the injury list
概述

Seattle Sounders (4th place, 20 points) host San Diego (12th place, 12 points) in Major League Soccer on May 10, 2026, 2:30 AM. Seattle is in the upper part of the table, while San Diego is in the middle. The Sounders aim to consolidate their position and reduce the gap to the top teams.

近期状态

Seattle Sounders are in good form with a DWWWD record from their last five matches. They secured 3 wins and 2 draws. Their recent results include a 1-1 away draw against Sporting KC and a 2-1 home win against Dallas. San Diego, on the other hand, has gone through a difficult spell with LLLLD in their last five games, consisting of 4 losses and 1 draw. Their last match was a 2-2 home draw against Los Angeles FC, preceded by a 1-2 loss against Portland Timbers.

统计数据

Seattle Sounders averaged 1.44 goals scored per game and conceded 0.56 goals this season. They kept 5 clean sheets. In home games, they average 1.33 goals scored and concede only 0.33 goals. San Diego's goal production is currently slowing down (1.2), with their season average at 1.7 goals. Seattle Sounders are currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.6). San Diego averages 1.73 goals scored and 1.73 goals conceded per game this season. Away from home, they average 2.00 goals scored but concede 3.67 goals and kept 1 clean sheet.

历史交锋

In the 2 head-to-head matches played so far, both teams secured one win each. Seattle Sounders scored 1 goal in total, while San Diego netted 3 goals. The last encounter on May 29, 2025, saw Seattle Sounders win 1-0 at home. The historical record is even.

关键球员

For Seattle Sounders, Jesús Ferreira (1 goal, 4 assists), Paul Rothrock (4 goals, 1 assist) and Cristian Roldán (3 goals, 0 assists) are key offensive players. Jesús Ferreira recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.31, while Paul Rothrock had 2 goals and 0 assists with a rating of 7.05, showing a declining trend. Cristian Roldán scored 2 goals in his last 4 games with a rating of 7.29. For San Diego, Anders Dreyer (5 goals, 5 assists), Marcus Ingvartsen (7 goals, 2 assists) and Onni Valakari (3 goals, 1 assist) stand out. Anders Dreyer contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.54. Marcus Ingvartsen showed 3 goals and 0 assists in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.10. Onni Valakari recorded no goals or assists in the last 5 games and a rating of 6.76, indicating a declining trend.

门将

Andrew Thomas is the Seattle Sounders' goalkeeper with 9 seasonal appearances and an average rating of 7.39. His team recorded 5 clean sheets this season, with 1 in a home game. For San Diego, Duran Ferree is in goal with 10 seasonal appearances and an average rating of 6.86. His team achieved 3 clean sheets, with 1 in an away game.

影响因素

Seattle Sounders show a solid performance at home, averaging 1.33 goals scored and conceding only 0.33 goals per home game. For San Diego, away games pose a challenge, as they concede an average of 3.67 goals per away game.

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