Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers - Sporting KC
05/10/2026, 02:30 AM
预期进球
1.5
2.4
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
11%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Portland Timbers
Sporting KC
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
49%
平局
29%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
51%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Portland Timbers are favorites with a win probability of approximately 49% according to mathematical analysis
- Sporting KC concedes an average of 3.75 goals per away game, which represents a major defensive weakness
- Portland Timbers show better form and have a dominant head-to-head record with 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 encounters
风险因素
- Sporting KC averaged 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Sporting KC's goal production is stagnant (0.6 goals per game in recent matches), below their season average of 0.8 goals
概述
Portland Timbers (13th place, 10 points) host Sporting KC (15th place, 5 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on May 10, 2026, 4:30 AM. Both teams are in the lower half of the table.
近期状态
Portland Timbers' form in their last 5 games is LWLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). This translates to 2 wins and 3 losses. Their last result was a loss.
Sporting KC's form in their last 5 games is LLLLD. This represents 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Their last game ended in a draw.
统计数据
Portland Timbers average 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 goals conceded per game this season. At home, their average is 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded. They have kept 0 clean sheets and both teams scored in 7 matches.
Sporting KC averages 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 goals conceded per game. Away from home, their record is weaker with 0.75 goals scored and 3.75 goals conceded per game. Sporting KC also has 0 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 6 matches.
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, Portland Timbers recorded 3 wins and 1 draw. Sporting KC has not won any of these encounters. Portland Timbers scored 10 goals, while Sporting KC scored 6 goals. Portland Timbers won the last direct encounter 1-0 on May 11, 2025.
关键球员
For Portland Timbers, Kristoffer Velde is an important attacker with 3 season goals, and his form is stable with 1 goal in the last 5 games. Kevin Kelsy contributed 2 season goals and 1 assist, showing stable form. David Da Costa scored once in the last 5 games and also has stable form.
For Sporting KC, Dejan Joveljić is the top scorer with 5 season goals and 1 assist, maintaining stable form with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games. Jacob Bartlett scored 1 season goal and showed stable form with 1 goal in his last 5 games. Shapi Suleymanov has 1 season goal and stable form.
门将
James Pantemis, goalkeeper for Portland Timbers, has recorded 0 clean sheets this season. Stefan Cleveland, Sporting KC's goalkeeper, has also recorded 0 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Portland Timbers score an average of 1.4 goals per home game and concede 1.6 goals. Sporting KC concedes an average of 3.75 goals per away game, while scoring 0.75 goals.