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Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire - New York RB

05/09/2026, 06:30 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Chicago Fire
2.5
Total xG
3.8
New York RB
1.3
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

3:1

7%

2:2

6%

3:0

6%

3:2

5%
xG 分解
CFNYR

Chicago Fire

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.31倍)
+0.99
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.54
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.09
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第11位, 相差7位)
+0.08
Robin Lod未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均2.6球 vs 总体2.1球)

New York RB

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.35倍)
+0.30
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.13
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第4位, 相差7位)
-0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

61%

平局

20%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

90%

Under 1.5

10%

Over 2.5

73%

Under 2.5

27%

Over 3.5

52%

Under 3.5

48%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

39%

非平局

80%

双方进球

68%

32%

关键因素
  • Chicago Fire's strong home offense: The mathematical model predicts 2.45 expected goals for Chicago Fire, supported by a season average of 1.86 home goals and 2.4 goals in recent matches.
  • New York RB's defensive weaknesses: New York RB concedes an average of 3.2 goals per away game, indicating significant vulnerability.
  • Form disparity: Chicago Fire shows better form with 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games compared to New York RB, which recorded no wins and 3 losses during the same period.
风险因素
  • New York RB's low attacking threat: In their last 5 games, New York RB averaged only 2.8 shots on target.
  • New York RB's high away goals conceded: The team concedes an average of 3.2 goals per away game.
概述

Chicago Fire (4th place, 17 points) host New York RB (11th place, 12 points) in a Major League Soccer match on May 9, 2026, 6:30 PM. Chicago Fire aims to improve their position in the top half of the table.

近期状态

Chicago Fire's form across all competitions is WWDWL, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games. They recently recorded a loss. New York RB's form is DLDLL, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last five matches, including two consecutive losses. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Chicago Fire averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they average 1.86 goals scored and only 0.71 goals conceded. They have achieved 5 clean sheets and 7 games have seen over 2.5 goals. New York RB averages 1.45 goals scored and 2.45 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they average 1.4 goals scored and 3.2 goals conceded. They have only 1 clean sheet this season and 7 games have seen over 2.5 goals. Both teams scored in 50% of Chicago Fire's matches and in 64% of New York RB's matches.

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head encounters in Major League Soccer, Chicago Fire secured 2 wins, while New York RB achieved 1 win, and 1 match ended in a draw. The goal difference stands at 4:3 in favor of Chicago Fire. The last meeting on July 27, 2025, ended in a 1:0 home win for Chicago Fire. Chicago Fire has been more dominant in recent matchups.

关键球员

For Chicago Fire, Hugo Cuypers with 10 goals and Philip Zinckernagel with 4 goals and 4 assists are key offensive players. Both players show stable or rising form according to their last 5 games. Jonathan Bamba contributed 2 goals and 2 assists. For New York RB, Julian Hall is a key player with 6 goals and 2 assists. Jorge Ruvalcaba shows rising form with 3 goals, and Ronald Donkor recorded 1 goal and 3 assists. Robin Lod (1 goal/1 assist) is not nominated for Chicago Fire.

门将

Chicago Fire's goalkeeper, Chris Brady, has 5 clean sheets this season and an average rating of 6.97. For New York RB, Ethan Horvath is in goal, having achieved 1 clean sheet and an average rating of 6.68.

影响因素

Chicago Fire demonstrates significant home strength with an average of 1.86 goals scored and only 0.71 goals conceded in home games. New York RB, on the other hand, concedes an average of 3.2 goals per away game.

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