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Major League Soccer

Charlotte - Atlanta United

07/23/2026, 12:15 AM

2 : 2
预期进球
Charlotte
1.5
Total xG
2.5
Atlanta United
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:0

9%

2:1

9%

1:2

6%

3:0

5%
xG 分解
CHAAU

Charlotte

小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.29
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.27
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.15
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第14位, 相差8位)
+0.06
Idan Toklomati替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
Wilfried Zaha未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
David Schnegg未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
27%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)

Atlanta United

防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.33
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.31
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第6位, 相差8位)
-0.09
Ajani Fortune未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
Saba Lobjanidze未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
24%进球产出缺失 (仅97%可用)
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

29%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

71%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Matchup advantage: Charlotte's strong home defense (0.82 goals conceded) meets Atlanta's vulnerable away defense (3.33 goals conceded)
  • Not nominated: Idan Toklomati (5G/1A), Wilfried Zaha (3G/2A), David Schnegg (1G/1A)
  • The mathematical model predicts a home win with a probability of 48%
风险因素
  • Atlanta United concedes an extremely high average of 3.33 goals away from home
  • Charlotte's goal production has stalled recently, averaging 1.2 goals compared to the season average of 1.7
  • Limited weather data available for this match
概述

Charlotte (6th place, 21 points) host Atlanta United (14th place, 11 points)

Major League Soccer match on July 23, 2026, 2:15 AM at Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte enters this match as the favorite

近期状态

Charlotte with form string LDLWW and recently two consecutive wins

Atlanta United with form string WLDLL and recently two consecutive losses

Charlotte recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last matches

Atlanta United recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Charlotte scores an average of 1.60 goals and concedes 1.53 goals per game

Charlotte is strong at home with avg. 1.64 scored and only 0.82 conceded goals

Atlanta United is defensively vulnerable away, conceding avg. 3.33 goals per game

Atlanta United scores an average of 0.93 goals per game this season

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in history

3 wins for Charlotte and 1 win for Atlanta United

Goal difference of 8:5 in favor of Charlotte

Last duel ended 3:2 for Charlotte

关键球员

Pep Biel scored 7 goals and provided 2 assists at home in 10 games

Kerwin Vargas recorded 2 goals and 3 assists so far this season

Aleksey Miranchuk is dangerous with 5 season goals and 2 assists for Atlanta United

门将

Kristijan Kahlina is in goal for Charlotte and has kept 2 clean sheets

Lucas Hoyos guards the goal for Atlanta United and has kept 1 clean sheet

影响因素

Match is played on artificial turf at Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte has a strong record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses on artificial turf

Atlanta United struggles on artificial turf with only 2 wins and 5 losses

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