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Major League Soccer

SJ Earthquakes - Minnesota United

08/23/2026, 02:30 AM

1 : 5
预期进球
SJ Earthquakes
1.9
Total xG
3.3
Minnesota United
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
SEMU

SJ Earthquakes

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.33
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.33
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第12位, 相差8位)
+0.07
Jack Skahan替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Nick Fernandez替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Jamar Ricketts替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均2.4球 vs 总体1.9球)

Minnesota United

排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第4位, 相差8位)
-0.13
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.13
Tomás Chancalay替补席 (2球, 4助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

25%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

65%

Under 2.5

35%

Over 3.5

43%

Under 3.5

57%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

75%

双方进球

是

66%

否

34%

关键因素
  • High-scoring venue: PayPal Park averages 4.2 goals per match, with the model estimating a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals
  • Tactical advantage: Minnesota United averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches, compared to SJ Earthquakes' 4.0
  • Historical dominance: Minnesota United won all 4 previous head-to-head encounters with a goal difference of 9:2
风险因素
  • Lack of recovery: Both teams enter this match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
  • Form crisis for both: SJ Earthquakes (LDLLL) and Minnesota United (LDDDL) are both winless in their last 5 matches
  • Away defense vulnerability: Minnesota United concede an average of 1.54 goals per away match
概述

SJ Earthquakes host Minnesota United

Major League Soccer at PayPal Park on August 23, 2026, 4:30 AM

Matchup between 4th place with 33 points and 12th place with 25 points

近期状态

SJ Earthquakes enter with form LDLLL

Minnesota United arrive with form LDDDL

Legend: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Both teams are without a win in their last 5 matches

统计数据

SJ Earthquakes score an average of 1.9 goals per match

Minnesota United average 1.1 goals per match

The hosts concede 1.56 goals per game at home

The model estimates a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

Historically the visitors dominate with 4 wins in 4 matches

SJ Earthquakes are winless in head-to-head matches

The last encounter ended 1-4 in favor of Minnesota United

关键球员

Preston Judd has scored 11 goals in 19 appearances

Timo Werner contributed 5 goals and 4 assists

Joaquín Pereyra stands out with 6 assists in 20 appearances

Kelvin Yeboah remains dangerous with 8 goals this season

门将

Angus Gunn has a season average rating of 6.8

Drake Callender has 20 appearances with a rating of 6.88

Both teams have kept 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Match played on natural grass at PayPal Park

This venue averages 4.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 games at this stadium

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