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Major League Soccer

Cincinnati - Vancouver Whitecaps

07/22/2026, 11:30 PM

4 : 3
预期进球
Cincinnati
1.6
Total xG
3.7
Vancouver Whitecaps
2.1
最可能的比分

1:2

9%

2:2

7%

2:1

7%

1:3

6%

2:3

5%
xG 分解
CINVW

Cincinnati

防守不足 (场均失2.5球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.56
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
-0.39
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3.4球)
+0.30
状态上升 (3.4 vs 2.4 赛季平均)
+0.30
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.20
排名劣势 (第7位 vs 第1位, 相差6位)
-0.10
Bryan Ramírez替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

Vancouver Whitecaps

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
+1.11
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.52
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.50
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.19
状态下滑 (1.8 vs 2.4 赛季平均)
-0.19
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第7位, 相差6位)
+0.06
Sebastian Berhalter未进大名单 (6球, 5助攻)
Cheikh Sabaly替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
32%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.9球 vs 总体2.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

23%

客胜

47%

进球数

Over 1.5

89%

Under 1.5

11%

Over 2.5

71%

Under 2.5

29%

Over 3.5

50%

Under 3.5

50%

双重机会

主胜或平局

53%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

77%

双方进球

是

71%

否

29%

关键因素
  • Cincinnati currently scores 3.4 goals per game, more frequently than their season average of 2.4
  • Vancouver averaged a strong 6.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • The mathematical model predicts a high probability of 71% for over 2.5 goals
风险因素
  • Sebastian Berhalter and Cheikh Sabaly are missing, only 66% of the seasonal goal threat is available
  • Vancouver's goal production has stalled recently at 1.8 compared to their season average of 2.4
  • Cincinnati concedes a high average of 2.47 goals per game this season
概述

Cincinnati host Vancouver Whitecaps

Major League Soccer match on July 22, 2026, 11:30 PM

Seventh-placed Cincinnati with 20 points face league leaders Vancouver Whitecaps with 32 points

近期状态

Cincinnati's form is WDLDW across all competitions

Vancouver Whitecaps' form is DDWLW across all competitions

Both teams recorded a victory in their last match

Form guide: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Cincinnati scores an average of 2.4 goals per game while conceding 2.47 goals

At home, Cincinnati averages 2.5 goals scored per match

Vancouver Whitecaps scores 2.43 goals and concedes just 0.86 goals per game on average

In away matches, the Whitecaps concede an average of 1.6 goals

关键球员

Evander scored 9 goals and provided 6 assists in 14 league appearances

Kévin Denkey contributed 9 goals and 2 assists in 14 matches

Brian White shines for the visitors with 10 goals and 2 assists in 14 games

门将

Roman Celentano guards the goal for Cincinnati with 2 clean sheets so far

Yohei Takaoka keeps goal for Vancouver and has recorded 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the TQL Stadium

An average of 6.2 goals were scored in recent matches at the TQL Stadium

Statistics show an 80% rate for over 2.5 goals in these fixtures

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