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Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew - New York City

07/22/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Columbus Crew
1.4
Total xG
2.5
New York City
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:0

10%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
CCNYC

Columbus Crew

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-1.00
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.47
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.27
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.03
Diego Rossi未进大名单 (6球, 1助攻)
Hugo Picard替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
52%进球产出缺失 (仅63%可用)

New York City

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.59
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.31
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.14
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.02
Maxi Moralez未进大名单 (1球, 6助攻)
Hannes Wolf替补席 (5球, 2助攻)
Keaton Parks未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

30%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

70%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Columbus Crew benefits from home advantage, conceding just 1.0 goals per home game compared to New York City's 2.0 goals conceded in away games
  • Columbus Crew dominated recent matches with an average of 62.6% possession, while New York City averaged 55.4% possession
  • Mathematical modeling favors Columbus Crew with a 41% probability of a home win compared to 28% for New York City
风险因素
  • Diego Rossi and Hugo Picard are missing for Columbus Crew, leaving only 64% of the usual goal threat available
  • Maxi Moralez, Hannes Wolf and Keaton Parks are missing for New York City, leaving only 69% of the usual goal threat active
  • New York City's offensive goal production is stalling with an average of 1.2 goals recently compared to the season average of 1.7
概述

Columbus Crew host New York City in Major League Soccer

Match on July 22, 2026, 11:30 PM at Lower.com Field

10th place in the table faces 8th place in the league

Crucial match to close the gap to the upper positions

近期状态

Columbus Crew recently ended a losing streak with a win (Form: LLLDW)

The home side recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats in their last 5 outings

New York City travels with a balanced record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses (Form: LWWDL)

The visitors suffered a defeat against Nashville SC in their last match

Explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Columbus Crew score an average of 1.4 goals per game while conceding 1.53

At home their defense is solid, conceding an average of only 1.0 goals per game

New York City score 1.5 goals on average away but concede 2.0 goals per match

Both teams scored occurred in 9 out of 15 games for the visitors this season

历史交锋

A total of 5 head-to-head matches have been played between the teams

The record is completely even with 2 wins for each side and 1 draw

The last encounter ended in a clear 3-0 victory for New York City

A total of 19 goals were scored across these matchups

关键球员

Nicolás Fernández Mercau stands out with 10 goals and 3 assists this season

Max Arfsten has already contributed 4 goals and 4 assists

Taha Habroune remains stable with an average season rating of 7.02

门将

Patrick Schulte is in goal for Columbus Crew with a season average rating of 6.63

Matt Freese guards the net for the visitors with a season rating of 6.92

Both goalkeepers have recorded 3 clean sheets each this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Lower.com Field

Columbus benefit from home advantage with a more stable defense in front of their fans

Previous matches at this venue have produced an average of only 1.33 goals per game

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