🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

Inter Miami - Chicago Fire

07/22/2026, 11:30 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Inter Miami
2.1
Total xG
4.0
Chicago Fire
1.9
最可能的比分

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

1:2

7%

3:1

5%

3:2

5%
xG 分解
IMCF

Inter Miami

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.47倍)
+0.42
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均4球)
+0.36
状态上升 (4 vs 2.8 赛季平均)
+0.36
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.24
防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.09
Lionel Messi 未进大名单 (12球, 8助攻)
Rodrigo De Paul未进大名单 (4球, 4助攻)
38%进球产出缺失 (仅63%可用)

Chicago Fire

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
+0.99
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.48
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.15
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.02
Hugo Cuypers替补席 (13球, 0助攻)
Robin Lod替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
54%进球产出缺失 (仅67%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

23%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

92%

Under 1.5

8%

Over 2.5

76%

Under 2.5

24%

Over 3.5

56%

Under 3.5

44%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

77%

双方进球

75%

25%

关键因素
  • Squad impact: Inter Miami is missing star players Lionel Messi and Rodrigo De Paul, leaving only 64% of their usual goal threat available
  • Tactical setup: Inter Miami recently averaged 8.4 shots on target per match, while Chicago Fire averaged 6.4 in their recent games
  • Prolific venue: Chase Stadium has averaged 5.2 goals per game recently, with the predictive model pricing a home win at 43%
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability at home: Inter Miami concedes an average of 2.17 goals per home game this season
  • Weakened away side: Chicago Fire is missing key players Hugo Cuypers and Robin Lod, leaving only 67% of their usual goal threat available
概述

Inter Miami (2nd place, 31 points) host Chicago Fire (3rd place, 26 points) at Chase Stadium

MLS match on July 23, 2026, 1:30 AM

A crucial top-tier encounter in the upper half of the table

近期状态

Inter Miami is in excellent shape with an "LWWWW" form, including four consecutive wins

Their home record shows four victories out of the last five games

Chicago Fire travels with an "LLWWW" form, carrying three consecutive wins

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Inter Miami averages 2.6 goals scored and 1.87 goals conceded per game this season

At home, their conceded average rises to 2.17 per match

Chicago Fire averages 1.83 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded in away games

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 11 out of 15 matches involving Inter Miami

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami recorded 2 wins, Chicago Fire had 1 win, and there was 1 draw

The last meeting ended in a high-scoring 3:5 away win for Chicago Fire on September 30, 2025

Historically, the home team has had the upper hand in these encounters

关键球员

Germán Berterame scored 7 goals and provided 3 assists in 15 league appearances

Luis Suárez has registered 6 goals in 11 appearances this season

Mateo Silvetti recorded 3 goals and 4 assists in 10 games

Philip Zinckernagel stands out with 5 goals and 7 assists in 14 games for the visitors

Maren Haile-Selassie contributed 3 goals and 2 assists in 14 appearances

Anton Salétros holds a solid average season rating of 7.01

门将

Rocco Ríos Novo starts in goal for Inter Miami, averaging a rating of 8.09 across 1 appearance

Chris Brady played 14 times for Chicago Fire, recording 2 clean sheets on the road

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Chase Stadium

Games at this venue have produced a high average of 5.2 total goals over the last 5 matches

Miami's home form with 16 goals scored demonstrates their strong home attack

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。