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Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers - SJ Earthquakes

05/24/2026, 01:30 AM

1 : 3
预期进球
Portland Timbers
1.2
Total xG
2.7
SJ Earthquakes
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
PTSE

Portland Timbers

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.46倍)
-1.19
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.61
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第2位, 相差11位)
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.11
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.11
全员可用

SJ Earthquakes

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.34
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.12
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第13位, 相差11位)
+0.08
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.02
N. Tsakiris未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
T. Werner未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
19%进球产出缺失 (仅77%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体2.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.75
+0.75
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

28%

客胜

45%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

55%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

72%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis indicates a high probability of an away win for SJ Earthquakes at 45%
  • SJ Earthquakes is in 2nd place with 29 points and has a significantly better season record than Portland
  • Portland Timbers shows a rising goal rate (2.0 current vs. 1.6 season average), while SJ Earthquakes' offense is declining (1.8 current vs. 2.2 season average)
风险因素
  • SJ Earthquakes' goal production is faltering (1.8 goals in last 5 games) compared to their season average of 2.2 goals
  • Portland Timbers concedes an average of 1.92 goals per game this season
  • SJ Earthquakes has suffered losses in their last two matches
概述

Portland Timbers (13th place, 14 points) host SJ Earthquakes (2nd place, 29 points) in Major League Soccer

Kick-off is on May 24, 2026, 2:30 AM

The Earthquakes aim to solidify their league position, while the Timbers seek to close the gap to the top

近期状态

Portland Timbers show a form of WLWDL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) in their last five games

Their last match ended in a loss

SJ Earthquakes have a form of WDDLL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses) and lost their last two fixtures

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Portland Timbers averages 1.62 goals scored and concedes 1.92 goals per game this season

At home, these values are an average of 1.62 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded

SJ Earthquakes averages 2.21 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded per game

Away from home, the team averages 2.14 goals scored and concedes 1.14 goals

历史交锋

In four head-to-head matches, the record is even: two wins for Portland, one for SJ Earthquakes, one draw

The goal difference stands at 8:8

The last encounter on June 14, 2025, ended 1:1

The home team has been more dominant in recent encounters

关键球员

For Portland Timbers, Kevin Kelsy (5 goals, 2 assists) is an important attacker with a rising form trend

Kristoffer Velde (4 goals, 1 assist) and Cole Bassett (2 goals, 2 assists) are also central

For SJ Earthquakes, Preston Judd (9 goals, 2 assists), Ousseni Bouda (5 goals, 1 assist) and Beau Leroux (2 goals, 3 assists) stand out

门将

James Pantemis of Portland Timbers recorded one clean sheet in 13 appearances

Daniel of SJ Earthquakes, however, recorded five clean sheets in 14 matches

影响因素

Portland Timbers shows a home average of 1.62 goals in offense and a stable defense with 1.0 goal conceded per game

SJ Earthquakes is strong offensively away from home with 2.14 goals and solid defensively with 1.14 goals conceded

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